房地产“限购令”政策效果研究

发布时间：2018-04-26 07:35

本文选题：房地产 + 限购令　；参考：《经济管理》2014年04期

【摘要】：实现居者有其房,是人们良好的愿景。近年不断攀升的房价直接影响着社会幸福感的提高。为此,我国推出房地产"限购令",以期调整房地产市场,控制房价。本文着重分析此次"限购令"的政策效果。梳理了影响城市房价各种因素的文献;以全国33个大中城市的月度数据为研究样本,构建倍差法、类倍差法和倾向得分匹配法三种房地产"限购令"政策绩效评价模型,剔除其他房价影响因素,使用面板数据Pool-OLS和系统GMM计量分析方法检验"限购令"对房价的独立政策效果。结果表明,房地产限购政策对抑制房价上涨,促进房价理性回归起了显著作用,但其作用力度仍待加强。最后,提出我国房地产调控的相关政策建议。
[Abstract]:The realization of home ownership is a good vision for people. The rising housing prices in recent years directly affect the improvement of social well-being. In order to adjust the real estate market and control the house price, our country puts forward the order of limiting the purchase of real estate. This article emphatically analyzes the policy effect of the purchase restriction order. Taking monthly data of 33 large and medium-sized cities as the research sample, the paper constructs three kinds of real estate policy performance evaluation models, which are double difference method, class double difference method and tendency score matching method, which affect the various factors of urban house price, and take the monthly data of 33 large and medium-sized cities as research samples. Excluding other factors affecting house price, panel data Pool-OLS and systematic GMM econometric analysis method are used to test the independent policy effect of purchase restriction on house price. The results show that the policy of limiting the purchase of real estate plays a significant role in restraining the rise of house prices and promoting the rational return of house prices, but its effect still needs to be strengthened. Finally, put forward our country real estate regulation and control related policy recommendations.
【作者单位】：中山大学岭南学院;广东外语外贸大学广东国际战略研究院;
【基金】：国家自然科学基金青年项目“中国地方政府产业政策对产业结构及资源配置效率的影响研究”(71303063) 教育部人文社会科学研究青年项目“区域协调发展下的土地利用和配置效率研究及优化对策”(12YJC790266) 广东省哲学社会科学规划青年项目“产业结构调整的生态环境影响效应及其机制研究”(GD13YYJ04)
【分类号】：F299.23

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