黑龙江省城镇住房价格波动的动因研究

发布时间：2018-05-31 23:10

本文选题：黑龙江省 + 住房价格　；参考：《哈尔滨商业大学》2013年硕士论文

【摘要】：房地产业是黑龙江省经济发展的重要支柱产业之一,而住房市场是房地产业的重要组成部分,它的产业关联性非常高,它可以带动相关产业链条的延伸,同时对相关产业的发展起到促进作用,且与人民群众的生活息息相关,其发展状况对于黑龙江省的经济发展水平和社会是否处于安定繁荣状态有较高的相关性与超前性。在20世纪80年代初期,伴随着经济体制改革工作的逐步开展,作为黑龙江省经济体制改革重要组成部分的住房制度改革也悄然兴起,特别是从1998以来,黑龙江省的住房分配方式由原来的福利和实物分配向货币化、商品化分房转变,住房建造的规模逐渐变大,住房市场成为了促进经济增长的新的推动力。与此同时,黑龙江省的住房价格也不断地上涨,尤其是2004年8月31日以后,开始全面实行“招、拍、挂”的土地出让方式,住房价格呈现出大幅度上涨的态势,到2010年甚至与全国住房的平均价格水平相差无几。论文分析了黑龙江省住房价格的演变历程,从影响住房价格波动的具体事件入手,通过多元线性回归分析方法找出了影响黑龙江省住房价格波动的主要因素,并运用经济学和消费心理学的相关理论和方法对住房价格的主要影响因素进行了细致的分析,提出了具体可行的建议和措施,对改善民生、保持住房市场的健康和持续发展具有重要的理论意义和实践意义。论文由以下五个部分组成：第一部分为导论：阐述了黑龙江省住房价格波动问题的研究背景、研究目的和意义、国内外研究现状,并且概括了论文的研究内容与方法。第二部分：分析了住房价格的形成。首先简要介绍了住房市场的内涵和住房价格的内涵,说明了住房价格自身所具有的特征,然后简要介绍了影响住房价格的因素。第三部分：从整体上阐述了黑龙江省住房价格波动的概况,并进行了实证分析。这部分首先介绍了黑龙江省住房价格波动的测评指标和历史进程,通过与同期全国住房价格的平均水平进行对比,发现黑龙江省的住房价格相对较高；然后运用多元线性回归分析的方法对影响住房价格的各种因素进行了实证分析,发现居民人均可支配收入和本年完成开发土地面积是影响黑龙江省住房价格波动的主要因素。第四部分：沿着第三部分的分析结论具体研究了影响黑龙江省住房价格波动的原因,运用经济学和消费心理学的相关理论和方法细致分析了人均可支配收入对黑龙江省住房价格波动的作用机制,并且对土地财政问题的由来及其对住房价格的作用机制进行了系统的研究。第五部分：提出了防止黑龙江省城镇住房价格剧烈波动的具体措施和建议。
[Abstract]:The real estate industry is one of the important pillar industries in the economic development of Heilongjiang Province, and the housing market is an important part of the real estate industry. Its industrial relevance is very high, and it can promote the extension of the related industrial chain. At the same time, it plays a promoting role in the development of related industries, and is closely related to the life of the people. Its development status has a high correlation and advance for the level of economic development of Heilongjiang Province and whether the society is in a stable and prosperous state. In the early 1980s, with the gradual development of the reform of the economic system, the housing system reform, an important part of the economic system reform in Heilongjiang Province, emerged quietly, especially since 1998. The distribution of housing in Heilongjiang Province has changed from welfare and material distribution to monetization, commercialization of housing distribution, and the scale of housing construction has gradually become larger. The housing market has become a new driving force to promote economic growth. At the same time, housing prices in Heilongjiang Province are also constantly rising, especially after August 31, 2004, when the land transfer mode of "recruiting, patting, hanging" began to be fully implemented. Housing prices show a trend of substantial increase. By 2010, even with the national average price level of housing is no different. This paper analyzes the evolution of housing prices in Heilongjiang Province, starting with the specific events that affect the fluctuation of housing prices, and finds out the main factors that affect the fluctuation of housing prices in Heilongjiang Province by means of multiple linear regression analysis. Using the relevant theories and methods of economics and consumer psychology, this paper makes a detailed analysis of the main factors affecting housing prices, and puts forward concrete and feasible suggestions and measures to improve people's livelihood. It is of great theoretical and practical significance to maintain the healthy and sustainable development of housing market. The thesis consists of the following five parts: The first part is the introduction: the research background, purpose and significance of housing price fluctuation in Heilongjiang Province, the current research situation at home and abroad, and the research contents and methods of this paper are summarized. The second part analyzes the formation of housing price. Firstly, this paper briefly introduces the connotation of housing market and housing price, explains the characteristics of housing price itself, and then briefly introduces the factors influencing housing price. The third part: the overall situation of housing price fluctuation in Heilongjiang Province, and the empirical analysis. This part firstly introduces the evaluation index and historical process of housing price fluctuation in Heilongjiang Province. By comparing with the average level of housing price in the same period, it is found that the housing price in Heilongjiang Province is relatively high. Then we use the method of multiple linear regression analysis to analyze the factors that affect the housing price. It is found that the per capita disposable income of residents and the area of land developed in this year are the main factors that affect the fluctuation of housing price in Heilongjiang Province. The fourth part: along the third part of the analysis of the conclusions of the specific study of the impact of housing prices in Heilongjiang Province, Based on the relevant theories and methods of economics and consumer psychology, this paper analyzes the mechanism of the per capita disposable income on the fluctuation of housing price in Heilongjiang Province. The origin of land finance and its mechanism on housing price are studied systematically. The fifth part: put forward the concrete measures and suggestions to prevent the sharp fluctuation of urban housing price in Heilongjiang Province.
【学位授予单位】：哈尔滨商业大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：F299.27

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