住宅价格波动影响因素个体固定效应模型
发布时间：2018-11-02 12:34
【摘要】：通过供需理论分析,住宅价格波动的影响因素有人口、收入、开发商实力、盈利能力、贷款利率及水平等,构建时间序列/截面数据的个体固定效应模型对我国除西藏外的30个省、自治区和直辖市的住宅价格进行实证研究发现,影响住宅价格波动的主要因素有人口、收入、开发商实力、销售面积、土地购置成本、建安成本,在考虑消费惯性的基础上,采用工具变量后的模型估计结果发现短期内影响住宅价格的因素主要是销售面积、土地购置成本和建安成本,且住宅价格受宏观经济影响而存在地区差异。
[Abstract]:Through the analysis of supply and demand theory, the influencing factors of housing price fluctuation are population, income, developer's strength, profitability, loan interest rate and level, etc. An empirical study on the housing prices of 30 provinces, autonomous regions and municipalities except Tibet in China is carried out by constructing a time series / cross-section data model of individual fixed effects. It is found that the main factors affecting the fluctuation of housing prices are population and income. Developer strength, sales area, land acquisition cost, Jian'an cost, on the basis of considering the consumption inertia, the model estimation results after using tool variables found that the main factors affecting housing prices in the short term are sales area. Land purchase cost and Jian'an cost, and housing prices are affected by macroeconomic differences.
【作者单位】： 天津商业大学公共管理学院;河北工业大学经济管理学院;
【基金】：国家自然科学基金资助项目(70872029)
【分类号】：F293.3
[Abstract]:Through the analysis of supply and demand theory, the influencing factors of housing price fluctuation are population, income, developer's strength, profitability, loan interest rate and level, etc. An empirical study on the housing prices of 30 provinces, autonomous regions and municipalities except Tibet in China is carried out by constructing a time series / cross-section data model of individual fixed effects. It is found that the main factors affecting the fluctuation of housing prices are population and income. Developer strength, sales area, land acquisition cost, Jian'an cost, on the basis of considering the consumption inertia, the model estimation results after using tool variables found that the main factors affecting housing prices in the short term are sales area. Land purchase cost and Jian'an cost, and housing prices are affected by macroeconomic differences.
【作者单位】： 天津商业大学公共管理学院;河北工业大学经济管理学院;
【基金】：国家自然科学基金资助项目(70872029)
【分类号】：F293.3
【参考文献】
相关期刊论文 前4条
1 梁斌;李庆云;;中国房地产价格波动与货币政策分析——基于贝叶斯估计的动态随机一般均衡模型[J];经济科学;2011年03期
2 段忠东;曾令华;;房价冲击、利率波动与货币供求:理论分析与中国的经验研究[J];世界经济;2008年12期
3 吴公j,龙奋杰;中国城市住宅价格与居民收入关系的定量研究[J];土木工程学报;2005年06期
4 兰峰;贺雅庆;;基于个体固定效应模型的商品住宅价格波动形成机理研究——来自关中城市群的实证数据[J];西安建筑科技大学学报(自然科学版);2012年03期
【共引文献】
相关期刊论文 前10条
1 林勇;黄春忠;;商品住宅价格需求因素影响实证研究——以广州市为例[J];北方经济;2012年06期
2 李成;黎克俊;马文涛;;房价波动、货币政策工具的选择与宏观经济稳定:理论与实证[J];当代经济科学;2011年06期
3 刘鹏;鄢莉莉;;银行体系、技术冲击与中国宏观经济波动[J];国际金融研究;2012年03期
4 鄢莉莉;;金融中介效率对货币政策效果的影响——基于动态随机一般均衡模型的研究[J];国际金融研究;2012年06期
5 刘U，
本文编号：2306027
本文链接：https://www.wllwen.com/jingjilunwen/zbyz/2306027.html
