煤炭资源型城市竞争力的系统演化与仿真研究

发布时间：2018-11-06 17:20

【摘要】：资源是人类生存发展的物质基础，城市是人类文明进步的主要载体。这两个问题，都是人类共同面对的重大问题，两者结合，即资源型城市问题，又构成了一个相对独立、备受关注的重大问题。资源型城市中，最典型的是煤炭资源型城市。煤炭型资源型城市承载着重要的历史背景，也面临着许多重大的现实问题。建国后，这些城市为新中国经济的发展和工业化体系的建立贡献了重要力量。但是煤炭资源的储量是有限的，多年大量的持续的开采，必然带来成本的增加、资源减少，从而使得煤炭产业的获利减少，煤炭主导产业的发展速度放缓，并产生了工人失业、环境污染等一系列社会问题。有些城市的发展甚至面临难以为继的局面，城市综合竞争力迅速下降。因此，如何从城市系统的角度入手，分析煤炭资源型城市系统的自组织特性、城市竞争力系统的竞争与协同演化，成为提升竞争力的关键。从系统角度研究城市竞争力提升，一方面有利于丰富和发展煤炭资源型城市竞争力理论；另一方面有利于为煤炭资源型城市的管理实践及政策制定等提供参考，对促进这类城市的健康持续发展具有重要的理论和实践意义。本文首先阐述了资源型城市的定义与分类，分析了煤炭资源型城市的特征及其经济发展规律，基于煤炭资源型城市竞争力的概念及其系统性特征，明确了提升煤炭资源型城市竞争力目标，探究煤炭资源型城市竞争力内在机理，选择耗散结构理论、自组织理论和系统动力学理论作为研究的理论工具，，为煤炭资源型城市竞争力的深入研究奠定理论基础。立足于自组织理论和系统演化的视角，从中观角度入手，构建了具有多样性和复杂性的煤炭资源型城市系统自组织特性和演化过程中内在机制。据此，剖析城市系统竞争力演化的本质和动因。从驱动煤炭资源型城市系统竞争力的形成和强化力量着手，探究了与之相关的涨落机制、协同机制以及基于转型熵的城市竞争力提升机制。借鉴煤炭资源型城市与煤炭资源型城市竞争力理论的研究范式，同时充分考虑指标的可获性和协调性等因素，以资源环境、经济环境、生态环境、科技环境、社会环境、开放环境和产业环境为二级指标，构建了具有较强系统性的煤炭资源型城市竞争力评价的指标体系。利用结构方程模型建模型及相应的参数设定，对初始构建的指标体系进行了筛选，继而利用因子分析法构建了煤炭资源型城市竞争力评价模型并选取实证对象进行了模型应用。依据自组织理论原理，本文对煤炭资源型城市竞争力的子系统之间的功能耦合和循环互动并促使系统向高级有序方向演化的内在关系及构成进行了阐述。在此基础上依据协同学中序参量的特征从城市竞争力系统内部探寻慢变量，进而确定煤炭资源型城市竞争力系统的子系统协同能力和竞争力水平为系统的序参量，并就序参量对城市竞争力系统的协同演化影响进行了分析。基于系统协同演化分析，构建了煤炭资源型城市竞争力系统资源协同演化模型并对实证对象进行测度。结合城市竞争力各子系统和各级指标之间的相互影响关系和因子分析得到的城市竞争力评价结果，利用系统动力学原理，基于城市竞争力系统内在的竞争演化过程，构建城市竞争力系统演化模型。分析了各资源要素之间的相互作用关系对竞争力系统演化的影响，并利用仿真模型进行了动态演化仿真。在此基础上，从提升煤炭资源型城市竞争力的视角，分别适度调整不同的变量输入，对仿真模型进行了修正。基于煤炭资源型城市竞争力评价、竞争力系统资源协同度测度和竞争力系统仿真演化分析，借鉴城市竞争力模型的通用范式，并针对煤炭资源型城市的特点，特别是黑龙江省四煤城，提出了煤炭资源型城市竞争力的提升思路，并具体从资源环境、经济环境、生态环境、科技环境、社会环境、开放环境和产业环境七个方面提出了煤炭资源型城市竞争力提升的对策。
[Abstract]:The resource is the material base of human's survival and development, and the city is the main carrier of the progress of human civilization. The two problems, both of which are the major problems facing mankind, are the combination of the two, that is, the problem of resource-based cities, and constitute a relatively independent and important issue. The most typical of the resource-based cities is the coal-resource-type city. The coal-based resource-based city bears an important historical background, and it also faces many important realities Q. After the founding of the People's Republic of China, these cities have contributed to the development of the new China's economy and the establishment of the industrialization system However, the reserves of coal resources are limited, and for many years, a large amount of continuous mining will inevitably bring about an increase in cost and decrease of resources, so that the profit of the coal industry is reduced, the development speed of the leading industry of the coal is slow, and a series of social workers, such as workers' unemployment, environmental pollution and the like, are generated. The problem is that the development of some cities is even difficult to follow, and the comprehensive competitiveness of the city is rapid Therefore, how to analyze the self-organization characteristics of the coal-resource-type urban system and the competition and the cooperative evolution of the urban competitiveness system from the angle of the urban system becomes the promotion competitive power The key is to study the improvement of the city's competitive power from the angle of the system. On the one hand, it is helpful to enrich and develop the theory of the coal-resource-type city's competitiveness. On the other hand, it is beneficial to provide the management practice and policy development of the coal-resource-type city. Reference is an important theory and practice to promote the healthy and sustainable development of this kind of city The paper first expounds the definition and classification of resource-based cities, analyzes the characteristics of coal-resource-type cities and its economic development, and makes clear the concept of coal-resource-based city's competitiveness and its systematic characteristics, and makes clear the improvement of coal-resources-type cities. The objective of competitiveness is to explore the internal mechanism of the coal resource type city's competitiveness, to choose the theory of dissipation structure, the self-organization theory and the system dynamics theory as the theoretical tool of the research, and to make an in-depth study of the competitiveness of the coal resource type city. Based on the theory of self-organization and the evolution of the system, the self-organizing character and performance of the coal-resource-type urban system with diversity and complexity are constructed based on the perspective of the theory of organization and the evolution of the system. In this paper, the internal mechanism of the process is analyzed, and the competitiveness of the urban system is analyzed. The essence and motivation of the evolution are as follows: from the formation and strengthening of the competitiveness of the coal-resource-type urban system, the fluctuation mechanism, the cooperative mechanism and the city based on the transformation entropy are explored. The mechanism of the promotion of the city's competitiveness is to learn from the research paradigm of the coal-resource-type city and the coal-resource-type city's competitiveness theory, taking full consideration of the factors such as the availability and coordination of the index, taking into account the resource environment, the economic environment, the ecological environment, the scientific and technological environment, the social environment and the open ring. The environmental and industrial environment is the second-level index, and the coal-resource-type city with a strong and systematic nature is constructed. The index system of the city's competitive power evaluation is set up by using the model of the structural equation model and the corresponding parameter setting, the index system of the initial construction is screened, and then the evaluation model of the coal resource type city competitiveness is constructed by the factor analysis method and selected. Based on the theory of self-organization, the function coupling and circular interaction between the subsystems of the coal-resource-type city's competitiveness and the performance of the system to the higher order direction are made. Based on the characteristics of the order parameters, the author explores the slow variable from the interior of the urban competitiveness system, and then determines the cooperative performance of the sub-system of the coal resource type urban competitiveness system. The level of force and competitiveness is the order parameter of the system and the city's competitiveness with respect to the order parameters The effect of the cooperative evolution of the system is analyzed. Based on the analysis of the cooperative evolution of the system, the coordination of the system resources of the coal resource type city is constructed. The evolution model is used to measure the empirical object. Combined with the relationship between the sub-system of the city's competitive power and the index between all levels and the results of the evaluation of the city's competitive power, the system dynamics principle is used to play the role of the competition in the city's competitive system. In this paper, the evolution model of the urban competitiveness system is constructed, and the influence of the interaction relationship between the resource elements on the evolution of the competitiveness system is analyzed. and the dynamic evolution simulation is carried out by using the simulation model, In the same variable input, the simulation model is modified. Based on the evaluation of the coal resource type city's competitiveness, the cooperation degree measure of the competitive system resource and the simulation and evolution of the competitive system, the general paradigm of the model of the city's competitiveness is used, and the coal is used for the coal. The characteristics of the carbon resource-based city, in particular the four-coal city of Heilongjiang Province, put forward the idea of improving the competitiveness of the coal resource-type city, and from the resource environment, the economic environment, the ecological environment, the scientific and technological environment, the social environment, the open environment and the industrial environment.
【学位授予单位】：哈尔滨工业大学
【学位级别】：博士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：N945.13;F299.23

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