中日在东南亚战略竞争效果评估——基于缅甸的案例研究

发布时间：2018-01-12 01:36

本文关键词：中日在东南亚战略竞争效果评估——基于缅甸的案例研究　出处：《国际政治科学》2017年03期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：中国和日本都将东南亚国家作为重要的合作伙伴,鉴于地缘因素,两国在东南亚地区的竞争在所难免。但从长期竞争的效果来看,中国和日本在东南亚国家的影响力各有所长。其中较为明显且被公认的一点是,中国与东南亚国家的经贸合作收益更大,而日本则在公众形象上更受好评。本文以2011年民主转型后的缅甸为例,分析影响中日两国在东南亚国家竞争效果的决定性因素。目前,在缅甸的政治体制转型的情况下,中国坚持实施对缅甸的一贯政策,尽管其在缅甸的政治影响与经济利益短期内有所波动,但从长期的发展趋势看,中缅合作仍在不断加强,尤其是在经贸投资领域的合作,得益于双方经济结构的互补性和中国产业转移等因素,其成果远远超过日本。而日本则通过提供大量援助以及实施谨慎的企业战略,在缅甸树立了良好的公众形象。这一案例表明,就中日两国来看,缅甸政治体制的变化,不一定会显著影响其与中国的政治、经济合作趋势;同样,缅甸与日本的经济合作虽然落后于中国,但并不影响日本在缅甸民众中的形象。这或许可以说明,不同国家在缅甸不同领域的合作各擅胜场,难获全面的优势。
[Abstract]:China and Japan both regard Southeast Asian countries as important partners. Due to geographical factors, competition between the two countries in Southeast Asia is inevitable, but from the long-term effect of competition. China and Japan have their own strong influence in Southeast Asian countries. One of the more obvious and recognized is that the economic and trade cooperation between China and Southeast Asian countries benefits more. Japan is more popular in the public image. This paper takes Myanmar after the democratic transition in 2011 as an example to analyze the decisive factors that affect the competitive effect of China and Japan in Southeast Asian countries. Under the circumstances of Myanmar's political system transformation, China insists on carrying out its consistent policy towards Myanmar, although its political influence and economic interests in Myanmar fluctuate in the short term, but from the long-term trend of development. Cooperation between China and Myanmar continues to strengthen, especially in the field of economic and trade investment, thanks to the complementary economic structure of the two sides and the transfer of Chinese industries, among other factors. The results far outweigh those of Japan, which has created a good public image in Myanmar through massive aid and prudent corporate strategies. The case shows that China and Japan have seen it in terms of both countries. The changes in Myanmar's political system do not necessarily have a significant impact on the trend of political and economic cooperation between Myanmar and China; Similarly, economic cooperation between Myanmar and Japan, although lagging behind China, does not affect the image of Japan among the Burmese people. This may indicate that cooperation between different countries in different fields of Myanmar has won. It is difficult to gain an overall advantage.
【作者单位】：清华大学国际关系学系;
【分类号】：D822.3;D831.3;D833.7
【正文快照】： 一、研究背景与问题提出东南亚地区战略地位重要,东盟10国领土领海面积广阔,人口众多,历来是中国与日本扩大政治影响和发展经济合作的重要对象。自新世纪以来,中国与东南亚的合作日趋紧密,影响力不断增强,加之2012年后中日关系因钓鱼岛争端加剧而恶化,两国在东南亚国家的竞争

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