经济权力视角下中美战略均势的地理透视
发布时间：2019-08-20 10:04
【摘要】：大国崛起过程就是一个不断向外扩展战略空间并与守成大国建立动态战略平衡的过程。中美经济高度相互依存内生于两国的政治经济关系,外部潜在战略空间的有效部署和经济权力的争夺成为中美博弈的重要内容。通过建立中美经济权力静态比较模型,勾勒出2000-2014年中美经济权力博弈的空间过程;基于权力均势理论,构建中美经济权力均势区的互动图景,得出以下结论:(1)中美经济权力博弈在空间上呈现此消彼长的态势,形成东西并立的竞争式格局;(2)2014年,中美经济权力空间的边界与斯皮克曼边缘地带的分布存在高度耦合性,呈现"斜Y"字型的带状结构;(3)中美经济权力均势区的国家主要有五种类型,不同类型的国家对中美的政策偏好差异显著,经济发达型国家在中美博弈中"两边下注",能源禀赋型国家强调国内社会经济发展,政经分化型国家的政治战略倾向美国而经济政策依附中国,战略通道型国家在中美博弈中"左右逢源",边缘孤立型国家力求自保;(4)综合中美经济和军事的战略评估,中美战略均势区的大致地理范围为西太平洋地区、欧洲沿海地区、南亚沿海地区、中东和北非沿海地区以及拉丁美洲东海岸地区。
[Abstract]:The process of the rise of great powers is a process of expanding strategic space and establishing dynamic strategic balance with remaining great powers. The highly interdependent economy between China and the United States is born in the political and economic relations between the two countries. The effective deployment of external potential strategic space and the struggle for economic power have become an important part of the game between China and the United States. Through the establishment of the static comparative model of economic power between China and the United States, this paper outlines the spatial process of the economic power game between China and the United States from 2000 to 2014. Based on the theory of power balance of power, the interactive picture of the economic power equilibrium area between China and the United States is constructed, and the following conclusions are drawn: (1) the economic power game between China and the United States shows one trend and another in space, forming a competitive pattern in which the East and the West stand side by side; (2) in 2014, the boundary of economic power space between China and the United States is highly coupled with the distribution of Spikman's edge zone, showing a "oblique Y" zonal structure; (3) there are five main types of countries in the economic power balance zone between China and the United States. There are significant differences in policy preferences between different types of countries. The economically developed countries "bet on both sides" in the Sino-US game, the energy endowment countries emphasize the domestic social and economic development, the political and economic differentiation countries tend to the United States while the economic policies depend on China, and the strategic channel countries are "left and right" in the Sino-US game. Marginal isolated countries strive to protect themselves; (4) based on the economic and military strategic assessment of China and the United States, the general geographical scope of the strategic equilibrium area between China and the United States is the western Pacific, the coastal areas of Europe, the coastal areas of South Asia, the coastal areas of the Middle East and North Africa, and the east coast of Latin America.
【作者单位】： 华东师范大学城市与区域科学学院;华东师范大学科技创新与发展战略研究中心;上海师范大学商学院;
【基金】：国家自然科学基金项目(41471108)
【分类号】：D822.371.2
[Abstract]:The process of the rise of great powers is a process of expanding strategic space and establishing dynamic strategic balance with remaining great powers. The highly interdependent economy between China and the United States is born in the political and economic relations between the two countries. The effective deployment of external potential strategic space and the struggle for economic power have become an important part of the game between China and the United States. Through the establishment of the static comparative model of economic power between China and the United States, this paper outlines the spatial process of the economic power game between China and the United States from 2000 to 2014. Based on the theory of power balance of power, the interactive picture of the economic power equilibrium area between China and the United States is constructed, and the following conclusions are drawn: (1) the economic power game between China and the United States shows one trend and another in space, forming a competitive pattern in which the East and the West stand side by side; (2) in 2014, the boundary of economic power space between China and the United States is highly coupled with the distribution of Spikman's edge zone, showing a "oblique Y" zonal structure; (3) there are five main types of countries in the economic power balance zone between China and the United States. There are significant differences in policy preferences between different types of countries. The economically developed countries "bet on both sides" in the Sino-US game, the energy endowment countries emphasize the domestic social and economic development, the political and economic differentiation countries tend to the United States while the economic policies depend on China, and the strategic channel countries are "left and right" in the Sino-US game. Marginal isolated countries strive to protect themselves; (4) based on the economic and military strategic assessment of China and the United States, the general geographical scope of the strategic equilibrium area between China and the United States is the western Pacific, the coastal areas of Europe, the coastal areas of South Asia, the coastal areas of the Middle East and North Africa, and the east coast of Latin America.
【作者单位】： 华东师范大学城市与区域科学学院;华东师范大学科技创新与发展战略研究中心;上海师范大学商学院;
【基金】：国家自然科学基金项目(41471108)
【分类号】：D822.371.2
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