区域海洋减灾能力评估指标体系构建与权重量化

发布时间：2017-12-28 19:06

本文关键词：区域海洋减灾能力评估指标体系构建与权重量化　出处：《海洋科学》2016年09期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：为有效开展防灾减灾,需要充分了解区域海洋减灾能力现状,从而科学确定未来减灾能力建设的优先领域及重点工程。首先梳理了能力评估与灾害管理阶段、能力建设优先领域、能力评估对象与建设主体等要素之间的关系,以及评估指标体系共性设计与区域个性的关系;其次,通过组织部门及地方的相关减灾机构与专家开展多方参与式讨论,综合了海洋、水文、气象、民政、应急、教育及综合减灾等多个领域专家的减灾经验,构建了区域海洋减灾能力评估三级指标体系,包括6个一级指标、21个二级指标及136个三级指标;然后,基于专家问卷(有效问卷69份)及层次分析(AHP)方法,量化了三级指标体系中各指标的权重。区域海洋减灾能力评估三级指标体系及指标权重成果已在相关市县开展了评估试点应用,为未来在全国范围开展区域海洋减灾能力评估奠定了良好基础。
[Abstract]:In order to effectively carry out disaster prevention and mitigation, we need to fully understand the current situation of regional marine disaster reduction capacity, so as to scientifically determine priority areas and key projects for future disaster reduction capacity building. First introduces the ability assessment and disaster management, capacity building priorities, ability evaluation object and the construction of the main factors such as the relationship between the relationship and the evaluation index system of general design and regional personality; secondly, through the relevant departments and local organizations and institutions and experts to carry out participatory discussion, comprehensive marine disaster reduction experience, hydrological and meteorological, civil affairs, education, emergency and comprehensive disaster reduction and many other experts in the field, the construction of regional marine disaster reduction capacity assessment index system of three grades, including 6 level indicators, 21 level two indexes and 136 level three indexes; then, based on the expert questionnaire (69 valid questionnaires) and analytical hierarchy process (AHP) method to quantify the weight of each index in the index system of level three. The three level index system and index weight achievement of regional marine disaster mitigation capacity evaluation has been applied in relevant cities and counties, and has laid a good foundation for carrying out the evaluation of regional marine disaster reduction capacity in the future.
【作者单位】：北京师范大学环境演变与自然灾害教育部重点实验室;北京师范大学民政部-教育部减灾与应急管理研究院;国家海洋局海洋减灾中心;中国科学院遥感与数字地球研究所/数字地球重点实验室;国家海洋局南海规划与环境研究院;国家海洋局东海预报中心;国家海洋局北海预报中心;民政部国家减灾中心;国家海洋信息中心;
【基金】：区域海洋减灾能力综合评估(2015) 海洋公益性行业科研专项(201305020)~~
【分类号】：P73;X43
【正文快照】： (1.北京师范大学环境演变与自然灾害教育部重点实验室,北京100875;2.北京师范大学民政部-教育部减灾与应急管理研究院,北京100875;3.国家海洋局海洋减灾中心,北京100194;4.中国科学院遥感与数字地球研究所/数字地球重点实验室,北京100094;5.国家海洋局南海规划与环境研究院,广

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