基于改进AHP的地下矿突水风险评价

发布时间：2018-03-24 03:21

本文选题：矿井突水　切入点：风险评价　出处：《工业安全与环保》2016年03期

【摘要】：地下矿突水风险的有效评价是矿井水害防治与安全开采的基本前提与重要基础。为了科学有效地评价地下矿突水事故风险,在深入研究分析与归纳地下矿突水因素的基础上,构建了较为全面的矿井突水事故风险评价指标体系,体系包括7个一级指标,各一级指标有与之对应的二级指标。应用德尔菲法对各项指标进行统一打分并求平均值,对层次分析法进行改进并应用于确定各项指标的权重,然后根据风险评价模型计算出评价结果。最后,结合国内某典型矿山进行实际的应用,所得结果与实际情况一致性较好,说明该方法可以提高矿井突水风险评价的有效性与准确性,具有较好的可行性。
[Abstract]:The effective evaluation of water inrush risk in underground mines is the basic premise and important foundation of mine water hazard prevention and safe mining. In order to evaluate the risk of water inrush accidents in underground mines scientifically and effectively, the factors of water inrush in underground mines are deeply studied and summarized. A comprehensive evaluation index system of mine water inrush accident risk is constructed. The system includes seven first-grade indexes, each of which has the corresponding second-class index. The Delphi method is used to score the indicators and to find the average value. The analytic hierarchy process (AHP) is improved and applied to determine the weight of each index, and then the evaluation results are calculated according to the risk evaluation model. Finally, combined with the practical application of a typical mine in China, the results are in good agreement with the actual situation. It shows that this method can improve the effectiveness and accuracy of risk assessment of mine water inrush, and has good feasibility.
【作者单位】：北京科技大学土木与环境工程学院;金属矿山高效开采与安全教育部重点实验室;
【基金】：国家自然科学基金(51174260,51174032) 教育部新世纪优秀人才支持计划资助项目(NCET-10-0225) 中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金资助项目(FRF-TP-09-001A)
【分类号】：TD745

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