煤矿安全通风系统脆性风险分析及管控研究

发布时间：2018-06-24 04:11

本文选题：通风系统 + 脆性　；参考：《科技管理研究》2017年14期

【摘要】：结合煤矿通风系统中出现的安全问题,基于复杂系统脆性理论,从人、设备、环境和管理4个方面研究煤矿通风系统中"参与者子系统""设备子系统""环境子系统"和"管理子系统"间的因果影响关系,并构建煤矿通风系统脆性风险仿真模型;利用煤矿统计数据,对其演化过程和脆性风险的变化过程进行实证分析,进而设计系统动力学干涉实验,探究煤矿生产量变化与系统脆性风险水平变化的关系。研究表明:管理子系统的脆性演化最快,更容易导致整个系统的崩溃;超能生产提高比例越高、系统脆性增长的速率越快,崩溃的时间越早。最后,提出煤矿安全通风系统脆性风险因素以及因素之间脆性关联性的管控措施。
[Abstract]:Combined with the safety problems in coal mine ventilation system, based on the theory of brittleness of complex system, from human, equipment, This paper studies the causal relationship between "participant subsystem", "equipment subsystem", "environment subsystem" and "management subsystem" in coal mine ventilation system from four aspects of environment and management, and constructs the simulation model of brittleness risk of coal mine ventilation system. Based on the statistical data of coal mine, the evolution process and the change process of brittleness risk are empirically analyzed, and then the interference experiment of system dynamics is designed to explore the relationship between the change of coal production and the level of brittle risk of system. The results show that the brittleness of the management subsystem evolves fastest, which leads to the collapse of the whole system more easily, and the higher the proportion of superproductive production, the faster the brittleness growth rate of the system and the earlier the collapse time. Finally, the brittleness risk factors of coal mine safety ventilation system and the control measures of brittleness correlation among factors are put forward.
【作者单位】：中国矿业大学管理学院;
【基金】：中国博士后科学基金面上项目“演化博弈视角下的煤矿安全监察监管研究”(2017M611953)
【分类号】：TD724

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