基于信息加工过程的管制人因差错概率量化方法研究
发布时间：2018-08-06 08:24
【摘要】：为量化管制人因差错概率,基于信息加工过程设计管制人因差错量化工具,将管制任务中的差错界定为错报、虚报、漏报三种差错,并量化其发生概率。结果表明:信息加工过程中的人因差错概率数据经Box-Cox转换后服从正态分布。根据正态分布代表点与损失函数的关系划分出5级等级标准。管制人因差错量化工具及方法的设计能够有效鉴别岗位人员发生错报、虚报、漏报的风险等级,对管制员选拔以及安全风险评估具有一定的借鉴意义。
[Abstract]:In order to quantify the error probability of the controller, based on the information processing process, a tool for quantifying the error caused by the controller is designed. The error in the control task is defined as three kinds of errors: misstatement, false report and omission, and the probability of occurrence is quantified. The results show that the human error probability data in the process of information processing are converted into normal distribution by Box-Cox. According to the relationship between the representative point of normal distribution and the loss function, five grade standards are divided. The design of quantification tools and methods of controller for error can effectively identify the risk grade of misstatement, false report and understatement of post personnel, which has certain reference significance for the selection of controller and the assessment of safety risk.
【作者单位】： 国家空管运行安全技术重点实验室;中国民航大学民航安全科学研究所;中国民用航空局空中交通管理局天津分局;
【基金】：教育部人文社会科学青年基金(15YJC190008) 中央高校基本科研业务费项目中国民航大学专项(3122017014) 民航局安全能力建设基金(OAS20150337)资助
【分类号】：V355;V328
，
本文编号：2167125
[Abstract]:In order to quantify the error probability of the controller, based on the information processing process, a tool for quantifying the error caused by the controller is designed. The error in the control task is defined as three kinds of errors: misstatement, false report and omission, and the probability of occurrence is quantified. The results show that the human error probability data in the process of information processing are converted into normal distribution by Box-Cox. According to the relationship between the representative point of normal distribution and the loss function, five grade standards are divided. The design of quantification tools and methods of controller for error can effectively identify the risk grade of misstatement, false report and understatement of post personnel, which has certain reference significance for the selection of controller and the assessment of safety risk.
【作者单位】： 国家空管运行安全技术重点实验室;中国民航大学民航安全科学研究所;中国民用航空局空中交通管理局天津分局;
【基金】：教育部人文社会科学青年基金(15YJC190008) 中央高校基本科研业务费项目中国民航大学专项(3122017014) 民航局安全能力建设基金(OAS20150337)资助
【分类号】：V355;V328
，
本文编号：2167125
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