青藏铁路突发情况下运输组织研究

发布时间：2019-02-13 17:21

【摘要】：青藏铁路自从建设通车起,就成为我国西部铁路运输大动脉,担负着重要的人员、物资运输任务,具有极为重要的经济、政治和军事意义。是我国支援西部大开发的生命线,也有着保持民族团结、造福沿线各族人民的特殊意义。青藏线所处的特殊环境条件决定了全线,尤其是格拉段由于多种自然灾害和突发情况引起的各种行车事故不可避免。如何在现有应急救援能力的条件下进行有效的应急处置和应急运输组织就是必须考虑的问题,同时应急预案的建立在具体实践应用中的评价方法,评价的结果也需要进一步转化为对应方案和决策建议。本文在借鉴国内外突发情况下高原列车运输组织问题的相关研究基础上,结合青藏铁路运输组织及突发情况的特点,通过实地调研,以铁路应急预案、系统分析理论及铁路行车组织的基本原理作为理论基础,综合论述、数学模型等技术方法相结合。首先,结合对青藏铁路及沿线的实地调研和对国内高原铁路突发情况下列车运输组织相关研究成果进行分析总结并提出青藏铁路突发情况的基本类型和特点,通过分析各突发情况特点和对行车安全构成威胁等情况,按照突发情况的类型及对运输组织的影响对其进行科学合理的分类对下一步针对该突发情况制定应急处置办法和应急预案提出了方向。其次,在对现场调研、参加实地应急演练的基础上对青藏铁路突发设备故障,突发行车事故,外部突发自然灾害,突发公共卫生及社会安全事件四类突发情况的应急处置和运输组织方法进行综合论述。再次,结合应急能力评价的基本理论,通过查阅文献,现场调研以及咨询专家等方法,尝试建立了青藏铁路应急能力综合评价指标体系。并通过层次构权法确定了指标体系中各层指标的权重,通过指标隶属函数分析将指标体系中定性指标定量化,发放问卷获得指标数据最后建立针对青藏铁路应急能力的模糊综合评价模型。最后,从的评价结果中有针对性的提出青藏铁路应急能力在三层评价指标体系的不足,并提出决策建议从而使青藏铁路的应急救援体系建设更加完善。
[Abstract]:Since the construction of Qinghai-Tibet Railway has been opened to traffic, it has become the main artery of railway transportation in the west of China. It bears the important tasks of transportation of personnel and materials, and has extremely important economic, political and military significance. It is the lifeline of China's support for the development of the western region, and also has the special significance of maintaining national unity and benefiting the people of all nationalities along the route. The special environmental conditions of Qinghai-Xizang Line determine the inevitability of various traffic accidents caused by many kinds of natural disasters and sudden events in the Gela section. How to carry on the effective emergency disposal and the emergency transportation organization under the existing emergency rescue ability condition is the question which must consider, simultaneously the emergency plan establishment in the concrete practice application appraisal method, The evaluation results also need to be further translated into corresponding programs and decision-making recommendations. On the basis of the relevant research on the train transport organization in the plateau under the sudden situation at home and abroad, combined with the characteristics of the Qinghai-Tibet railway transportation organization and the unexpected situation, through field investigation and investigation, this paper makes a railway emergency plan. The theory of systematic analysis and the basic principles of railway running organization are used as the theoretical basis, comprehensive discussion, mathematical model and other technical methods. First of all, combining the field investigation of the Qinghai-Tibet Railway and its route and the related research results of train transport organization under the sudden situation of the plateau railway in China, this paper analyzes and summarizes the basic types and characteristics of the sudden situation of the Qinghai-Tibet Railway. By analyzing the characteristics of each emergency situation and the situation that poses a threat to the traffic safety, According to the type of emergency and its influence on transportation organization, the paper makes a scientific and reasonable classification of the emergency and puts forward the direction for the next step to formulate the emergency treatment method and emergency plan for the sudden situation. Secondly, on the basis of on-the-spot investigation and participation in field emergency drills, on the basis of sudden equipment failures, sudden traffic accidents, and sudden natural disasters on the Qinghai-Tibet Railway, The methods of emergency disposal and transportation organization of public health and social security emergencies are discussed. Thirdly, combined with the basic theory of emergency capacity evaluation, the comprehensive evaluation index system of Qinghai-Tibet railway emergency capacity is established by consulting literature, field investigation and consulting experts. The weight of each index in the index system is determined by the hierarchical weight method, and the qualitative index in the index system is quantified by the analysis of the index membership function. Finally, a fuzzy comprehensive evaluation model for Qinghai-Tibet railway emergency response capacity is established. Finally, from the evaluation results pointed out the Qinghai-Tibet railway emergency response capacity in the three-level evaluation index system deficiencies, and put forward decision-making suggestions so as to make the Qinghai-Tibet railway emergency rescue system construction more perfect.
【学位授予单位】：西南交通大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：U298

【参考文献】