煤矿安全事故应急资源调度的多目标决策研究

发布时间：2019-03-14 10:34

【摘要】：目前我国正处于工业化加速发展阶段，经济的持续高速发展与相对薄弱的安全生产环境致使安全生产形势严峻。尤其是作为工业主要支撑的煤矿能源，，出现了滥采滥挖、产能过剩的现象。由于人为或自然原因，煤矿安全事故发生频繁。但是我国煤矿安全事故应急救援起步较晚，存在应急装备不足、应急技术水平较弱、专业救护队伍较少以及统一标准化信息平台缺乏等问题。在相关约束条件下如何科学合理地调度有限的应急资源是煤矿安全事故应急救援行动迅速有效地开展的关键环节。不合理不科学的煤矿应急资源调度会贻误最佳应急救援时间，造成更多的人员伤亡和更严重的危害结果。因此，对于煤矿安全事故应急资源调度的研究具有十分重要的理论意义和实际意义。首先，本文在分析了我国煤矿安全事故特点及其危害的基础上，对煤矿安全事故应急资源的构成及其特点进行了分析，并且构建了基于案例推理方法的煤矿安全事故应急资源需求预测模型，同时将层次分析法和灰色关联分析法相结合求出了模型的解。然后，在确定我国煤矿安全事故应急资源需求的种类、数量和结构的基础上，对我国煤矿安全事故应急资源调度的目标、原则和特征进行分析，同时阐述了煤矿安全事故应急资源调度的影响因素及其基本流程。最后，提出了煤矿安全事故应急资源调度多目标决策问题，构建了以煤矿安全事故应急资源调度时间最短、应急出救点数目最少和应急资源调度路径可靠性最高为目标的煤矿安全事故应急资源调度多目标决策模型，并且运用逼近理想解法求出模型的解，同时引入案例进行了实证分析。
[Abstract]:At present our country is in the industrialization accelerated development stage, the sustained high-speed development of the economy and the relatively weak safe production environment cause the safety production situation to be severe. Especially, as the main support of industry, coal mine energy has been overexploited and overcapacity. Coal mine safety accidents occur frequently because of man-made or natural reasons. However, the emergency rescue of coal mine accidents in our country starts late, there are some problems, such as the shortage of emergency equipment, the weak level of emergency technology, the lack of professional rescue teams and the lack of unified and standardized information platform. How to dispatch the limited emergency resources scientifically and rationally under the relevant constraints is the key link for the rapid and effective development of emergency rescue operations for coal mine safety accidents. Unreasonable and unscientific scheduling of coal mine emergency resources will delay the optimal emergency rescue time, resulting in more casualties and more serious harm. Therefore, the research on emergency resource scheduling of coal mine safety accident has very important theoretical and practical significance. First of all, on the basis of analyzing the characteristics and hazards of coal mine safety accidents in China, this paper analyzes the composition and characteristics of emergency resources of coal mine safety accidents. Finally, a case-based reasoning method is proposed to predict the emergency resource demand of coal mine safety accidents, and the solution of the model is obtained by combining the analytic hierarchy process (AHP) and the grey relational analysis (Grey Relational Analysis) method. Then, on the basis of determining the type, quantity and structure of emergency resource demand for coal mine safety accident in our country, the target, principle and characteristic of emergency resource dispatching for coal mine safety accident in our country are analyzed. At the same time, the influencing factors and basic flow of emergency resource dispatching of coal mine safety accident are expounded. Finally, the multi-objective decision-making problem of emergency resource scheduling for coal mine safety accidents is put forward, and the shortest scheduling time of emergency resources for coal mine safety accidents is constructed. The multi-objective decision-making model of coal mine safety accident emergency resource scheduling is based on the minimum number of emergency rescue points and the highest reliability of emergency resource scheduling path, and the approximate ideal solution is used to find the solution of the model. At the same time, a case is introduced to carry on the empirical analysis.
【学位授予单位】：江西理工大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：TD771

【参考文献】