电力企业配电网工程项目风险管理研究

发布时间：2018-04-01 08:44

本文选题：配电网工程项目　切入点：风险评价与控制　出处：《华北电力大学(北京)》2017年硕士论文

【摘要】：配电网直接面向用电客户,是智能坚强电网建设的关键环节,是我国国民经济稳步增长的基础,同时也是推动社会发展的重要公共设施。在电网快速改革和发展的大背景下,近年来,国家对配电网的关注程度不断提高,建设投入和力度持续加大,配电网发展成效显著,这意味着我国电力企业现阶段承担着配电网大规模建设与改造、升级的历史使命和艰巨任务。配电网工程项目实施过程中存在大量的风险因素,这些风险会直接或间接的影响配电网工程项目的安全稳定实施,同时也影响到电力企业自身的健康平稳发展。为了减少风险所带来的影响,本文将结合时代赋予电力企业配电网工程项目的特点和需求,进一步研究配电网项目建设改造过程中的风险管理与控制,对电力企业配电网工程项目的风险管理提出优化建议。本文以电力企业配电网工程项目为研究对象,首先阐述了电力企业配电网工程项目风险管理研究的意义,总结了国内外研究现状和研究内容及方法。其次对项目及项目风险管理的相关理论开展深入研究,明确工程项目风险管理程序主要包括风险识别、风险评价以及风险应对三个部分。通过分析配电网工程项目风险特点,对电力企业配电网工程项目进行风险辨识,并构建电力企业配电网工程项目风险评价指标。同时,明确使用层次分析法、控制区间和记忆模型法开展对电力企业配电网工程项目风险评价工作。随后,以某电力企业H配电网工程项目为实例,构造指标评价结构,应用层次分析确定该项目各风险因素权重,结合各风险因素的风险等级,使用控制区间和记忆模型法对该项目的风险等级进行评价。最终依据评价结果,有针对性的提出了H配电网工程项目整体风险管理的建议。本文将通过定性与定量分析方法的有效结合,从风险识别、风险评价分析、风险应对三方面进一步构建电力企业配电网工程项目的风险管理模型,这一模型的构建将有助于配电网工程项目的风险管理与控制,对电力企业其它工程项目的风险管理也有重要的借鉴意义。
[Abstract]:Distribution network is a key link in the construction of smart and strong power grid. It is the foundation of the steady growth of our national economy and the important public facilities to promote the social development at the same time.In the background of rapid reform and development of power grid, in recent years, the national attention to distribution network has been increasing, construction investment and strength continue to increase, and the distribution network development has achieved remarkable results.This means that China's power enterprises are undertaking the historical mission and arduous task of large-scale construction and transformation and upgrading of distribution network at the present stage.There are a large number of risk factors in the implementation of distribution network engineering projects, which will directly or indirectly affect the safety and stability of distribution network engineering projects, but also affect the healthy and stable development of power enterprises themselves.In order to reduce the impact of the risk, this paper will further study the risk management and control in the construction and transformation of distribution network project according to the characteristics and requirements of the distribution network project given by the times.Put forward the optimization suggestion to the distribution network project risk management of the electric power enterprise.This paper takes the distribution network project of electric power enterprise as the research object. Firstly, the significance of the research on the risk management of the distribution network project in the power enterprise is expounded, and the present research situation, research contents and methods at home and abroad are summarized.Secondly, the related theories of project and project risk management are deeply studied, and it is clear that the process of project risk management mainly includes three parts: risk identification, risk evaluation and risk response.By analyzing the risk characteristics of distribution network project, the risk identification of distribution network project in power enterprise is carried out, and the risk evaluation index of distribution network project in power enterprise is constructed.At the same time, AHP, control interval and memory model are used to evaluate the distribution network project risk.Then, taking the H distribution network project of an electric power enterprise as an example, the index evaluation structure is constructed, the weight of each risk factor of the project is determined by AHP, and the risk grade of each risk factor is combined.Control interval and memory model were used to evaluate the risk level of the project.Finally, according to the evaluation results, the paper puts forward the suggestion of overall risk management of H distribution network project.In this paper, through the effective combination of qualitative and quantitative analysis methods, the risk management model of distribution network project in electric power enterprises is further constructed from three aspects: risk identification, risk evaluation and risk response.The construction of this model will be helpful to the risk management and control of distribution network engineering projects, and it will also be of great significance to the risk management of other projects in power enterprises.
【学位授予单位】：华北电力大学(北京)
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：F426.61;TU71

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