黑龙江地区电动汽车充换电站需求预测及规划研究

发布时间：2018-05-25 00:44

本文选题：电动汽车 + 充换电站　；参考：《华北电力大学》2014年硕士论文

【摘要】：随着全球经济的不断发展,经济增长与能源的矛盾日益凸显,鉴于此,很多国家已经将发展电动汽车作为解决这一矛盾的重要措施。世界各地的不断重视和研究使电动汽车成为了新能源汽车发展的主要方向,电动汽车将成为下世纪最有潜力的交通工具之一。电动汽车充换电站是汽车能量补充的基础设备,做好充换电站的规划建设是推动电动汽车产业发展的基础保障。因此,对黑龙江地区进行电动汽车充换电站的需求预测及规划研究具有一定的现实意义。本文首先对电动汽车充换电站在国内外建设现状进行了简单的介绍,并系统的分析了充换电站建设的可行性和必要性。在此基础上,本文归纳了几种电动汽车充换电站需求负荷预测的方法,进而在借助保有量法和弹性系数法预测电动汽车保有量的基础之上,得出电动汽车充换电站的数学模型,并结合黑龙江地区某市的实际情况对当地的充换电站的负荷进行了需求预测。在前述需求负荷分析的基础之上,论文分别从发展规模、服务半径需求、城市规划、输配电网现状、短期与长期结合等角度对建设充换电站进行了分析及规划。在选址分析的基础之上,本文提出了建设充换电站的算法设计并提供了相应的数学模型及约束条件,最后本文以黑龙江某市为例对充换电站建设进行了实例分析,为今后相关领域的发展提具有一定的借鉴意义。希望通过本文对黑龙江地区电动汽车保有量的合理预测及规划分析,能够为在黑龙江地区建设电动汽车充换电站提供准确的预测方法,解决盲目建站的问题,合理配置社会资源。
[Abstract]:With the continuous development of the global economy, the contradiction between economic growth and energy is becoming increasingly prominent. In view of this, many countries have taken the development of electric vehicles as an important measure to solve this contradiction. With the constant attention and research all over the world, electric vehicles have become the main direction of the development of new energy vehicles, and electric vehicles will become one of the most potential vehicles in the next century. The electric vehicle recharge power station is the basic equipment of the automobile energy supplement, and the planning and construction of the filling and changing power station is the basic guarantee to promote the electric vehicle industry development. Therefore, it is of practical significance to forecast and plan the demand of electric vehicle replacement power station in Heilongjiang area. In this paper, the current situation of electric vehicle recharge power station construction at home and abroad is briefly introduced, and the feasibility and necessity of charging and replacing power station construction are analyzed systematically in this paper. On this basis, this paper summarizes several methods of forecasting the demand for electric vehicle charging and replacing power station, and then, on the basis of forecasting electric vehicle holding capacity by means of holding quantity method and elastic coefficient method, the mathematical model of electric vehicle charging and replacing power station is obtained. Combined with the actual situation of a city in Heilongjiang province, the demand of the local charging power station is forecasted. On the basis of the above demand load analysis, the paper analyzes and plans the construction of charging and switching power station from the aspects of development scale, service radius demand, urban planning, current situation of transmission and distribution network, combination of short-term and long-term, etc. On the basis of location analysis, this paper puts forward the algorithm design and provides the corresponding mathematical model and constraint conditions for the construction of charging and replacing power station. Finally, this paper takes a city in Heilongjiang as an example to analyze the construction of charging and changing power station. For the future development of relevant fields have a certain reference significance. It is hoped that this paper can provide an accurate prediction method for the construction of electric vehicle filling and replacement power station in Heilongjiang region, and solve the problem of blind construction of electric vehicle station through the reasonable prediction and planning analysis of the electric vehicle holding capacity in Heilongjiang area. Rational allocation of social resources.
【学位授予单位】：华北电力大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：TM910.6;U469.72

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