我国三次产业经济增长与能源消费的均衡关系研究

发布时间：2018-01-07 14:36

  本文关键词：我国三次产业经济增长与能源消费的均衡关系研究　出处：《商业经济研究》2016年19期 　论文类型：期刊论文

  更多相关文章： 三次产业 ARDL模型 经济增长 能源消费 均衡关系

【摘要】：本文主要采用稳健性较好的、具有小样本特性的ARDL模型以及Toda-Yamamoto因果检验方法,对我国三次产业经济增长与能源消耗之间的关系进行实证研究。研究结果显示,就总体而言,我国社会主义市场经济的整体发展和能源消费之间存在着均衡关系,并且国内生产总值是能源消耗总量的Granger原因。三次产业经济增长与能源消耗之间的关系:第一产业增加值与能效消费之间的关系是相对独立的;第二产业和第三产业增加值与能源消耗之间长期处于均衡关系,并且表现为第二产业增加值是能源消费的Granger原因。
[Abstract]:This paper mainly adopts the robust ARDL model with small sample characteristics and the Toda-Yamamoto causality test method. Empirical study on the relationship between the economic growth of three industries and energy consumption in China. The results show that the overall situation. There is a balanced relationship between the overall development of China's socialist market economy and energy consumption. And the gross domestic product is the Granger reason of the total energy consumption. The relationship between the economic growth of the three industries and the energy consumption: the relationship between the value added of the primary industry and the energy efficiency consumption is relatively independent; The relationship between the added value of the secondary industry and the tertiary industry and the energy consumption is in equilibrium for a long time, and the second industry added value is the Granger reason of the energy consumption.
【作者单位】： 郑州科技学院;
【分类号】：F124;F426.2
【正文快照】： 目前,我国处于经济社会发展的战略机遇期,一方面我国工业经济发展迅速,另一方面能源消耗也在不断增加(张丽峰,2008)。特别是进入21世纪以来,我国能源消耗的增长率高达9%。据相关部门预测,2020年之前是我国工业化以及城市化高速发展的阶段,同时能源需求也会以较快的速度增长。，

本文编号：1392987