泉州市海岸带综合管理绩效评估研究

发布时间：2018-02-23 04:09

本文关键词： 海岸带综合管理绩效评估泉州市层次分析法主成分分析法　出处：《厦门大学》2014年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：海岸带综合管理(Integrated Coastal Management,ICM)是推动海岸带可持续发展的综合管理手段之一,目前已有超过100个国家和地区的开展了海岸带综合管理实践。中国自80年代初引入海岸带综合管理概念以来,开展了大量相关的基础研究和管理工作,目前有10多个海岸带城市正在开展海岸带综合管理示范区工作。随着海岸带综合管理实践的不断深入开展,进行海岸带综合管理绩效评估,及时调整管理框架,提高综合管理能力,以达到预期的管理目标是十分必要的。然而有关海岸带综合管理绩效评估与及其相关研究工作目前仍处于探索阶段,尚未形成制度化的评估机制与方法。泉州市是中国东南沿海典型的海岸带城市之一。该市沿海地区人口稠密,经济发达,海岸带资源丰富,但存在较为严重的海岸带资源开发与生态环境保护的矛盾。为减轻海岸带生态环境压力,积极应对海岸带资源利用与环境保护的矛盾,自2005年起,泉州市与其他9个海岸带城市一起开展了海岸带综合管理平行示范区项目,对该市海岸带综合管理绩效进行评估分析,可为泉州市海岸带综合管理能力的提高和管理目标的实现提供科学依据。本文在系统研究国外海岸带综合管理评估工作的基础上,构建了区域海岸带综合管理绩效评估指标体系与评估方法,并以泉州市为例,应用层次分析法和主成分分析法,从ICM管治、生态环境、社会经济发展以及综合效益等方面对该市2004-2010年期间海岸带综合管理绩效进行评估。主要研究内容及成果如下： (1)基于国内外海岸带相关评估指标体系的研究,结合中国海岸带综合管理的特点,应用综合指标框架,构建区域海岸带综合管理绩效评估三层指标体系与评估标准。三层指标体系包括目标层、准则层、指标层,其中目标层包括ICM管治、海岸带生态环境状况、社会经济发展3个子系统,下设9个准则层,34个具体指标。 (2)泉州市ICM管治绩效逐年增长。层次分析法结果表明,ICM管治绩效逐年增长,平均增长速率23.6%,但绩效尚属于一般,各个管理要素有待进一步改善。主成分分析结果也表明ICM管治绩效逐年增长,其中2005-2009年期间可界定为海岸带综合管理发展初期,2009年开始管治能力有较大改善,已具备较强的管治能力。 (3)泉州市海岸带生态环境状态有所改善。层次分析法结果显示,生态环境指数总体呈增长趋势,年均增长率7.6%,泉州市近岸海域整体生态环境有所改善,生态系统状况良好,2006-2007年改善最为明显,水质、物种多样性、红树林面积都有明显增长。主成分分析结果表明,生态环境指数总体呈增长趋势,但2005年得分低于2004年,主要原因是由于底栖物种数量的下降。 (4)泉州市社会经济发展态势良好。层次分析法结果表明,泉州市社会经济发展指数逐年增长,平均增长速率46.0%,但海岸带灾害管理需要进一步加强。主成分分析法结果与层次分析法结果基本一致,每年社会经济发展得分增长幅度较为稳定,呈现可持续态势。 (5)在综合管理绩效评估中,层次分析法结果表明,泉州市2004-2010年期间,综合绩效平均年增长率18%。2004-2006年期间,综合绩效一般,社会经济和ICM管治绩效较差,2007-2010年绩效良好,各目标子系统绩效良好。主成分分析法结果表明,2004-2005年绩效较差,2006-2008绩效一般,2009-2010绩效良好。总体来看,泉州市海岸带综合管理绩效逐年增长,但与实现海岸带可持续发展目标尚有一定距离。 (6)根据评估结果,分析了泉州市海岸带综合管理存在的主要问题包括ICM总体计划的缺失、适应性管理机制较弱、海陆统筹的管理协调机制有待进一步加强、信息管理系统的需要进一步完善、缺乏外部资金的注入等。建议依据绩效现状,提出实施下一阶段以生态系统管理为核心的海岸带综合管理,并对管理的具体目标进行细化,设计相应的监测网络。研究结果可为泉州市海岸带管理提供科学依据。
[Abstract]:Integrated Coastal Zone Management (Integrated Coastal, Management, ICM) to promote the sustainable development of the coastal zone is one of the comprehensive management, there are more than 100 countries and regions to carry out integrated coastal management practice. Since the China since the beginning of the 80s introduction of integrated coastal zone management concept, carried out a large number of related basic research and management. There are currently more than 10 coastal city is in the coastal zone management demonstration area. Work with integrated coastal management practice further, to evaluate the performance of integrated coastal zone management, timely adjust management framework, improve the comprehensive management ability, in order to achieve the desired objectives of management is very necessary. However, the integrated coastal zone management the performance evaluation and related research work is still in the exploratory stage, has not yet formed the assessment mechanism and method of system.
Quanzhou city is a city of southeast coastal China typical coastal zone. The coastal areas of the city is densely populated, economically developed coastal zone is rich in resources, but there is a serious coastal resource development and environmental protection. In order to alleviate the contradiction with the ecological environment pressure to actively respond to the coast, coastal resource utilization and environmental protection contradictions. Since 2005, the city of Quanzhou and the other 9 coastal city together to carry out parallel integrated coastal zone management demonstration area project of the city integrated coastal zone management performance evaluation and analysis, to provide a scientific basis for improving Quanzhou city integrated coastal management and management objectives.
Based on the research on foreign shores system with the assessment work, build a Regional Coast appraisal target system and the appraisal method with comprehensive management performance, taking Quanzhou city as an example, the application of AHP and principal component analysis, from ICM governance, ecological environment, social economic development and comprehensive benefits etc. the evaluation of the city during the 2004-2010 years of integrated coastal zone management performance. The main research contents and results are as follows:
(1) study at home and abroad with the related evaluation index system based on Chinese, combined with the characteristics of integrated coastal zone management framework, using comprehensive index, the construction of regional integrated coastal zone management performance evaluation index system and evaluation standard of three layers. The three layer index system includes the target layer, criterion layer and index layer, the target layer including ICM governance, coastal ecological environment, social economic development consists of 3 subsystems, 9 layers of 34 specific indicators.
(2) the performance of ICM governance in Quanzhou city increased year by year. The analytic hierarchy process. The results showed that ICM governance performance increased year by year, the average growth rate of 23.6%, but the performance still belongs to the general, various elements of management needs to be further improved. The principal component analysis also showed that ICM governance performance increased year by year, of which 2005-2009 year period can be defined as the integrated coastal zone management the early stages of development, 2009 governance capacity is greatly improved, has strong ability to govern.
(3) the ecological environment in Quanzhou coastal state has improved. The AHP results showed that the ecological environment index showed an overall increasing trend, the average annual growth rate of 7.6%, the overall ecological environment in the coastal waters of Quanzhou has improved, the ecological system in good condition, 2006-2007 years of the most obvious improvement, water quality, species diversity, the mangrove area has significant growth. Principal component analysis showed that the ecological environment index showed an overall increasing trend, but the score in 2005 than in 2004, the main reason is due to the decline in the number of benthic species.
(4) Quanzhou City Economic and social development situation is good. The analytic hierarchy process. The results show that the Quanzhou City Economic and social development index increased year by year, the average growth rate of 46%, but the coastal disaster management needs to be further strengthened. The principal component analysis method and the analysis results are basically the same level of results, annual economic and social development score growth rate is relatively stable, present a sustainable situation.
(5) in the comprehensive management performance evaluation, AHP method. The results showed that during 2004-2010 years in Quanzhou City, the comprehensive performance of the average annual growth rate during the period of 18%.2004-2006, the comprehensive performance of general ICM, social economy and governance performance is poor, 2007-2010 years of good performance, good performance of each target subsystem. Principal component analysis showed that 2004-2005 the performance is poor, 2006-2008 performance, 2009-2010 good performance. Overall, performance increased year by year the comprehensive management of the coastal zone in Quanzhou City, but with the realization of sustainable development in the coastal zone are still some distance.
(6) according to the evaluation results, analyzed the main problems of Quanzhou city integrated coastal zone management including the existence of deletion of ICM's overall plan, weak adaptability management mechanism, co-ordination of land and sea management coordination mechanism needs to be further strengthened, need to further improve the information management system, the lack of outside capital. Suggestions on the basis of performance status, proposed the implementation of the coast the ecosystem management is the core of the next phase of comprehensive management, and to refine the specific objectives of management, design the corresponding monitoring network. The results can be used for the Quanzhou coastal zone management to provide the scientific basis.

【学位授予单位】：厦门大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：P748

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