基于集对分析的中国海洋经济系统脆弱性研究

发布时间：2018-04-05 18:36

本文选题：海洋经济系统　切入点：脆弱性　出处：《地理科学》2016年01期

【摘要】：从海洋经济脆弱性内涵出发,构建敏感性和应对性指标,运用主、客观相结合的组合赋权法确定指标权重,并结合集对分析法,分析1996~2012年中国海洋经济系统脆弱性的演变趋势及影响因素。结果表明:1中国海洋经济系统对不利扰动的敏感性呈下降趋势,对内、外冲击的应对能力表现出增强趋势,脆弱性不断下降;2运用回归分析法分析海洋经济系统敏感性、应对能力与脆弱性之间的关系,得出应对性的强弱对脆弱性的影响居于主导地位;3提出相应的降低海洋经济脆弱性的对策,包括充分合理利用海洋资源,改变经济增长方式;加强陆海统筹,优化产业结构;推进科学技术创新和人才培养;加强海洋环境保护和污染治理等。
[Abstract]:Based on the connotation of marine economic vulnerability, the sensitivity and coping indexes are constructed, and the index weight is determined by combining subjective and objective combination weighting method, and combined with set pair analysis.This paper analyzes the evolution trend and influencing factors of the vulnerability of China's marine economic system from 1996 to 2012.The results show that the sensitivity of China's marine economic system to adverse disturbances is decreasing, and the coping ability of internal and external shocks is increasing, and the vulnerability of marine economic systems is decreasing. The sensitivity of marine economic systems is analyzed by regression analysis.Based on the relationship between coping ability and vulnerability, it is concluded that the influence of coping ability on vulnerability is dominant. 3. The corresponding countermeasures to reduce the vulnerability of marine economy are put forward, including making full and reasonable use of marine resources and changing the mode of economic growth.Strengthen land and sea coordination, optimize industrial structure, promote scientific and technological innovation and personnel training, strengthen marine environmental protection and pollution control, etc.
【作者单位】：辽宁师范大学海洋经济与可持续发展研究中心;浙江工商大学旅游与城市管理学院;国家海洋环境监测中心;
【基金】：国家自然科学基金项目(41201114;41301079;41401176;41201160) 2015年辽宁省教育厅人文社会科学重点研究基地专项项目(ZJ2015033) 省社科联2016年度辽宁经济社会发展立项课题(2016lslktzdian-20) 浙江省哲学社会科学规划课题(16NDJC185YB)资助~~
【分类号】：P74

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