海洋资源环境承载能力超载阈值确定方法探讨

发布时间：2018-07-01 20:55

本文选题：承载能力 + 阈值　；参考：《地理科学进展》2017年03期

【摘要】：超载阈值是资源环境承载能力监测预警体系构建中的关键因子,其确定是当前资源环境承载能力评价方法研究中的重点和难点问题。本文首先分析了资源环境承载能力超载阈值的定义和内涵,结合国内外研究进展和国家发改委下发的《资源环境承载能力监测预警技术方法(试行)》,分析目前海洋资源环境承载能力评价采用的超载阈值确定方法及潜在的问题。试行方法主要是从海洋功能区划及环境质量标准的合规性,以及指标多年变化情况确定超载阈值,对资源环境保护与社会经济发展的关系协调考虑较少,评价方法的创新性以及评价结果的管理效能还较弱。本文还从海洋资源环境对于社会经济发展的限制性分析视角,探索构建区域差异性指标体系和更具科学性及管理适用性的超载阈值确定新思路。
[Abstract]:Overload threshold is a key factor in the construction of resource environment carrying capacity monitoring and warning system, and its determination is a key and difficult problem in the research of resource environment carrying capacity evaluation method. This paper first analyzes the definition and connotation of the overload threshold of the carrying capacity of resources and environment. Based on the research progress at home and abroad and the "Monitoring and early warning Technology method for carrying capacity of Resources and Environment" issued by the National Development and Reform Commission, this paper analyzes the determination method and potential problems of overload threshold used in the evaluation of carrying capacity of marine resources and environment at present. The trial method is mainly based on the compliance of marine functional zoning and environmental quality standards, as well as the changes of indicators over the years to determine the threshold of overload, and less consideration is given to the coordination of the relationship between resource and environmental protection and social and economic development. The innovation of evaluation methods and the management effectiveness of evaluation results are still weak. From the perspective of the restrictive analysis of the marine resources and environment to the social and economic development, this paper explores the new idea of constructing the regional difference index system and determining the overload threshold which is more scientific and applicable to management.
【作者单位】：国家海洋环境监测中心;中国海洋大学;
【基金】：中国科学院科技服务网络计划(STS计划)项目(KFJ-STS-ZDTP-021)~~
【分类号】：P74;X24

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