基于云模型的中国海洋强国建设经济环境研究

发布时间：2018-08-06 11:24

【摘要】：十八大报告中,党首次提出建设海洋强国这一概念,并明确了发展海洋经济是建设海洋强国的核心。与此同时,海洋强国战略研究逐步成为众多学者研究问题的热点,因此,在现有研究的基础上,本文尝试从一个全新的角度出发,对中国海洋强国建设的经济环境进行研究,并提供了一种客观评价定量化的方法,即运用云模型的模糊性和随机性进行综合评价,有效地实现了定性与定量概念的相互转换,较为准确地评价了海洋强国建设中的经济环境发展水平。首先,本文明确了海洋强国战略的内涵,并对目前国内外海洋强国建设的发展现状进行概述；其次,详细地阐述了当前国内外的海洋经济环境的发展情况,针对海洋经济环境在发展过程中出现的随机性和模糊性问题,引入了云模型这种综合评价方法,建立了海洋强国经济环境评价指标体系,阐述了各评价指标的基本含义和计算方法。再次,以2012年各指标的实际数据为例,采用熵权法客观地确定了评价指标的权重,并依据云模型的评价步骤进行模糊综合评价,利用云模型的三个数字特征——期望、熵和超熵建立了评价等级,借助正向云发生器确定了模糊隶属度矩阵以及在不同隶属度情况下的云模型综合评估值,并将指标权重集和模糊隶属度矩阵进行模糊转换,得到最终的模糊综合评价结果,据此确定了本年海洋经济环境的整体发展水平,应用同样的方法确定了我国近10年海洋经济环境的发展情况,并对得到的评价结果进行了综合性分析。最后,针对评价结果中存在的问题,提出了关于我国未来海洋经济环境发展的相关性建议,为海洋强国建设提供依据。
[Abstract]:In the report of the 18th National Congress, the Party put forward for the first time the concept of building a powerful marine country, and made it clear that the development of marine economy is the core of building a powerful marine country. At the same time, the strategic study of ocean power has gradually become a hot topic for many scholars. Therefore, based on the existing research, this paper attempts to study the economic environment of China's marine power construction from a new perspective. A quantitative method of objective evaluation is provided, that is, the fuzziness and randomness of cloud model are used for comprehensive evaluation, and the mutual conversion of qualitative and quantitative concepts is realized effectively. The development level of economic environment in the construction of marine powerful country is evaluated more accurately. First of all, this paper defines the connotation of the strategy of ocean power, and summarizes the current situation of the development of marine power construction at home and abroad. Secondly, the development of the marine economic environment at home and abroad is elaborated in detail. Aiming at the randomness and fuzziness of marine economic environment in the process of development, this paper introduces the cloud model as a comprehensive evaluation method, and establishes the evaluation index system of marine economic environment. The basic meaning and calculation method of each evaluation index are expounded. Thirdly, taking the actual data of each index in 2012 as an example, the weight of evaluation index is determined objectively by using entropy weight method, and the fuzzy comprehensive evaluation is carried out according to the evaluation steps of cloud model. The evaluation grade is established by entropy and hyperentropy. The fuzzy membership matrix and the comprehensive evaluation value of cloud model under different membership degree are determined by using the forward cloud generator, and the index weight set and fuzzy membership matrix are converted. Finally, the result of fuzzy comprehensive evaluation is obtained, and the overall development level of marine economic environment in this year is determined, and the development of marine economic environment in China in the past 10 years is determined by the same method. The evaluation results are analyzed comprehensively. Finally, in view of the problems existing in the evaluation results, the relevant suggestions on the future development of marine economic environment in China are put forward, which can provide a basis for the construction of a powerful marine country.
【学位授予单位】：大连海事大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2015
【分类号】：P74

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