京津冀碳足迹演变趋势与驱动机制研究

发布时间：2018-01-14 01:28

本文关键词：京津冀碳足迹演变趋势与驱动机制研究　出处：《软科学》2016年08期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：采用2007年和2010年中国30省区市区域间投入产出表和分省市分行业碳排放数据,构建多区域投入产出—结构分解分析(MRIO-SDA)模型测度京津冀碳足迹的演变趋势及影响因素。结果表明:京津冀碳足迹整体呈现增加的趋势,但北京处于人均碳足迹和碳足迹强度下降阶段,天津和河北处于碳足迹总量和人均碳足迹增加、碳足迹强度下降阶段;北京和天津是隐含碳净调入地区,河北是隐含碳净调出地区;人口增长、人均消费量增加和消费结构变化是京津冀碳足迹增加的主要驱动因素,但技术进步和生产结构变化部分抑制了碳足迹的增加。在京津冀协同发展背景下,京津冀减排政策的制定不能一刀切,应统一规划、综合评价、协调治理。
[Abstract]:In 2007 and 2010, the input-output tables of 30 provinces, autonomous regions and cities in China and the carbon emissions data of subprovinces, cities and industries were used. A multi-region input-output structural decomposition model was constructed to measure the evolution trend and influencing factors of the carbon footprint of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei. The results show that the overall carbon footprint of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei is increasing. However, Beijing is in the stage of decreasing per capita carbon footprint and carbon footprint intensity, while Tianjin and Hebei are in the stage of increasing the total carbon footprint and per capita carbon footprint and decreasing the carbon footprint intensity. Beijing and Tianjin are implied carbon net transfer area, Hebei is implied carbon net transfer area; Population growth, increase in per capita consumption and changes in consumption structure are the main drivers of the increase in the carbon footprint of Beijing, Tianjin and Hebei. But the technological progress and the change of production structure partly restrain the increase of carbon footprint. Under the background of the coordinated development of Beijing, Tianjin and Hebei, the policy of emission reduction of Beijing, Tianjin and Hebei cannot be made in a one-size-fits-all way, so it should be unified planning, comprehensive evaluation and coordinated management.
【作者单位】：首都经济贸易大学经济学院;
【分类号】：F124;;F127
【正文快照】： 1引言党的十八届五中全会提出,实现“十三五”发展目标,必须牢固树立并切实贯彻“创新、协调、绿色、开放、共享”五大发展理念。根据《京津冀协同发展规划纲要》,交通一体化、生态环境保护和产业对接协作是京津冀协同发展的三个重点领域。京津冀地区碳排放量约占全国的1/5,是

【相似文献】