基于非竞争型投入产出表的中国碳排放影响因素研究

发布时间：2018-03-17 22:22

本文选题：非竞争型投入产出表　切入点：碳排放量　出处：《中国社会科学院研究生院学报》2016年02期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：探究中国碳排放量持续增长背后的原因对于制定科学合理的碳减排政策至关重要。本文使用非竞争型投入产出数据估算2000~2010年中国碳排放量,基于结构分解模型分析碳排放增长的影响因素。研究结果发现,中国碳排放量年均增长12.6%,其中电力、燃气、水的生产和供应业,石油加工、炼焦及核燃料加工业与金属产品制造业是碳排放量最大的前三个行业;最终需求规模的扩张是碳排放量增加的最主要驱动因素,生产结构变迁是导致碳排放量增加的第二大因素。努力使碳排放强度下降是抑制碳排放量增加的最重要举措。在研究基础上,有针对性提出减少碳排放量的政策建议。
[Abstract]:It is very important to explore the reasons behind the continuous increase of China's carbon emissions in order to formulate a scientific and reasonable carbon emission reduction policy. This paper uses non-competitive input-output data to estimate China's carbon emissions from 2000 to 2010. Based on the structural decomposition model, the influence factors of carbon emission growth are analyzed. The results show that the average annual increase of carbon emissions in China is 12.6 percent, in which the production and supply of electricity, gas and water, petroleum processing, the production and supply of electricity, gas and water, The coking and nuclear fuel processing industries and metal products manufacturing are the top three industries with the largest carbon emissions; the expansion of the scale of final demand is the main driver of the increase in carbon emissions. The change of production structure is the second major factor leading to the increase of carbon emissions. To reduce the intensity of carbon emissions is the most important measure to restrain the increase of carbon emissions. On the basis of the research, the paper puts forward some policy suggestions for reducing carbon emissions.
【作者单位】：西安外国语大学经济金融院、CFA国际教学研究中心;
【基金】：陕西省软科学重点项目(2015KRZ006) 陕西省社会科学基金项目(2014D16) 国家社会科学基金重大项目(12&ZD072) 陕西省软科学项目(2012KRM36)
【分类号】：X196;F124.5

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