基于纳污能力控制的省区初始排污权ITSP配置模型

发布时间：2018-03-18 04:20

本文选题：区间数　切入点：纳污能力控制　出处：《中国人口·资源与环境》2016年08期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：省区初始排污权配置具有多阶段性、复杂性及不确定性特征。面向水功能区限制纳污红线约束,根据省区初始排污权配置的基本假设,引入区间数和随机数来描述不确定性信息,以因省区初始排污权配置产生的经济效益为第1个阶段,以因承担减排责任而可能产生的治污损失为第2个阶段,设计实现流域经济效益最优的目标函数,并以配置结果能够体现社会效益、生态环境效益和社会经济发展连续性为约束条件,构建基于纳污能力控制的省区初始排污权区间两阶段随机规划(ITSP)配置模型,分水污染物类别确定不同减排情形下的省区初始排污权配置方案。在三种减排情形下,2020年太湖流域各省区的初始排污权配置结果表明:1江苏省、浙江省和上海市的COD初始排污权配置区间量没有明显变化,其NH3-N和TP初始排污权配置区间量总体呈上升或递增趋势;2太湖流域各省区因初始排污权的配置产生的总体经济效益最优区间数分别为[335.35,399.75]亿元、[336.63,401.11]亿元和[339.08,402.74]亿元,最优区间数的下限值、上限值及期望值总体呈上升或递增趋势。分类确定不同减排情形下的配置方案,并提出方案实施的政策建议,为排污权配置决策提供更为准确的决策空间。
[Abstract]:The initial allocation of pollution provinces has many stages, complexity and uncertainty characteristics. For the water pollutant limits the function of the red line constraints, according to the basic hypothesis of the allocation of the initial emission permits provinces, using the interval number and random number to describe the uncertain information, have to configure the initial emission rights for provincial economic benefits into first stages. To which may arise due to the responsibility of emission reduction of the water loss into second stages, the design and implementation of the optimal objective function in economic benefits, and the allocation results can reflect the social benefits, environmental benefits and social economic development continuity constraints, construction control of pollutant carrying capacity in initial emission interval two stage stochastic programming based on the configuration model (ITSP), water pollutant category to determine the configuration of initial emission reduction in different provinces. In the case of three emission reduction situation, Taihu in 2020 The initial allocation of pollution results showed that: 1 provinces in Jiangsu Province, Zhejiang province and Shanghai city COD initial allocation of pollution interval did not change significantly, the results of NH3-N and TP initial emission rights allocation is rising or increasing trend; the overall economic benefits of the optimal interval numbers of 2 provinces in Taihu basin due to the initial row sewage right allocation was [335.35399.75] billion, [336.63401.11] billion and [339.08402.74] billion yuan, the lower limit of optimal interval value, upper limit value and expected value of the overall upward trend or increasing. To determine the classification scheme of different emission reduction situation, and put forward the scheme of the implementation of the policy recommendations, to provide more decision-making allocation of pollution the accurate decision space.

【作者单位】：湖北经济学院环境资源与国际贸易学院;河海大学商学院规划与决策研究所;
【基金】：国家自然科学基金面上项目“最严格水资源管理制度约束下流域初始水权耦合配置方法研究”(批准号:41271537)
【分类号】：X52;X321

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