中国碳排放的时间趋势和地区差异研究——基于工业化过程中碳排放演进规律的视角

发布时间：2018-04-22 05:33

  本文选题：碳排放 + 库兹涅茨曲线　； 参考：《山西财经大学学报》2016年01期

【摘要】：基于全球工业化进程中碳排放演进的一般规律,研究了中国碳排放的时间趋势和地区差异。研究发现:从时间趋势来看,中国碳排放尚处于碳排放强度反转后期以及人均峰值到来前期的第二阶段(S2),基于倒U顶点时间距离的估计,中国人均排放和总量排放的达峰时间分别在2026年和2047年;从地区差异来看,总量聚类分析显示,Ⅲ类地区主要分布在环渤海及周边省份,Ⅰ类地区集中在西部地区,而技术聚类中的Ⅰ、Ⅱ、Ⅲ三类地区分布呈现由南向北过渡的特征。
[Abstract]:Based on the general rules of the evolution of carbon emissions in the process of global industrialization, the temporal trends and regional differences of carbon emissions in China are studied. It is found that China's carbon emissions are still in the second stage of the intensity reversal of carbon emissions and the pre-peak per capita peak from the time trend, based on the estimation of the time distance between the inverted U peaks. The peak time of per capita emission and total emission in China was 2026 and 2047, respectively. According to the regional differences, the total amount cluster analysis showed that the type 鈪，

本文编号：1785842