传统空气污染物和温室气体减排最优控制策略

发布时间：2018-05-17 13:13

本文选题：微分对策 + 协同减排　；参考：《系统管理学报》2016年03期

【摘要】：基于传统空气污染物与温室气体的相互影响关系(替代或互补),运用动态微分对策理论分析协同与非协同减排机制,并进行了数值模拟,模拟结果发现,如果传统空气污染物和温室气体之间可替代,协同治理下的传统空气污染物和温室气体的最优瞬时排放量和最优排放路径均低于非协同治理下的结果;但如果是互补关系,协同治理下的温室气体的最优瞬时排放量和最优排放路径均高于非协同治理下的结果,而传统空气污染的最优瞬时排放量和最优排放路径可能低于非协同治理下的结果。此外,协同治理下的净收益刚开始略低于非协同治理下的结果,但随着时间的推移前者很快超过后者。因此,从长期来看,协同减排为最优控制策略。
[Abstract]:Based on the interaction between traditional air pollutants and greenhouse gases, the dynamic differential game theory is used to analyze the synergistic and non-cooperative emission reduction mechanisms. If there is an alternative between conventional air pollutants and greenhouse gases, the optimal instantaneous emissions and optimal emission paths of conventional air pollutants and greenhouse gases under synergistic treatment are lower than those under non-synergistic treatment; however, if they are complementary, The optimal instantaneous emissions and optimal emission paths of greenhouse gases under cooperative control are higher than those under non-cooperative control, while the optimal instantaneous emissions and optimal emission paths of traditional air pollution may be lower than those under non-cooperative control. In addition, the net income under co-governance is at first slightly lower than that under non-co-governance, but the former overtakes the latter quickly over time. Therefore, in the long run, cooperative emission reduction is the optimal control strategy.
【作者单位】：上海交通大学安泰经济与管理学院;南京师范大学商学院;
【基金】：国家自然科学基金资助项目(71333010) 国家社会科学基金资助项目(14CJY082&13CJY072)
【分类号】：X51

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