广东省经济增长与工业三废关系研究——基于数量脱钩与速度脱钩的视角

发布时间：2018-12-12 09:18

【摘要】：伴随着经济增长而产生的环境问题是各国在发展过程中不可避免的难题之一。脱钩理论可对经济增长与环境压力之间的关系进行定量分析,为制定环境管控政策提供依据。本文分析了广东省1985—2014年经济增长与工业三废排放间的关系,并对比数量脱钩与速度脱钩测度方法导致的环境管控政策差异。结果表明:广东省工业三废EKC曲线的转折点均出现在2010年后,未能凸显环境治理的后发优势;脱钩弹性系数在研究期限内呈波动变化,出现相对及绝对脱钩的次数较多。就测度方法而言,速度脱钩提前判断资源环境与经济增长"双赢"区间的出现时间,因此在制定环境政策时,应更多参考数量脱钩的分析结果。
[Abstract]:Along with the economic growth, the environmental problem is one of the inevitable problems in the development of various countries. Decoupling theory can quantitatively analyze the relationship between economic growth and environmental pressure, and provide the basis for formulating environmental control policy. This paper analyzes the relationship between economic growth and industrial waste emissions in Guangdong Province from 1985 to 2014, and compares the difference of environmental control policies caused by quantitative decoupling and speed decoupling. The results showed that the turning points of the EKC curves of the three industrial wastes in Guangdong Province appeared after 2010, which failed to highlight the advantage of environmental control, and the coefficient of decoupling elasticity fluctuated during the study period, and the relative and absolute decoupling times were more frequent. As far as the measurement method is concerned, the speed decoupling measures the time of "win-win" interval between resource environment and economic growth in advance, so we should refer more to the analytical results of quantitative decoupling when making environmental policy.
【作者单位】：华南农业大学数学与信息学院;
【基金】：广东省自然科学基金资助项目(2016A030313402) 广东省哲学社会科学规划资助项目(GD15CGL16) 广东省哲学社会科学规划共建资助项目(GD14XGL27)
【分类号】：F127;X322

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