印度碳排放量峰值的实证研究
发布时间：2021-05-09 17:33
印度是世界上第三大CO2排放国。中国和美国作为世界上第一和第二大CO2排放国,他们的CO2排放量已经达到了峰值,然而近些年来印度CO2的排放量仍在上升。为探究印度将在何时何地实现自身CO2排放量的峰值,本文根据环境库兹涅兹曲线（EKC）假说,分析了印度的GDP和CO2排放量之间是否存在倒U型曲线关系。具体的说,本文基于1971-2014年的时间序列数据,采用了ARDL模型分析了印度CO2排放量与不同的经济变量之间的关系,这些变量包括化石能源消费量、GDP、贸易开放度、农耕土地规模和农村人口密集度。结果表明,印度CO2排放量与GDP间确实存在倒U型的EKC曲线关系,并且将在GDP增加至11.234万亿美元时实现拐点。2017年印度的GDP是2.487万亿美元,假设印度GDP按照OECD和世界银行7.4%的预测值增长,则印度将在2039年达到CO2排放量的峰值。印度在巴黎协定中曾承诺,到2030...
【文章来源】：首都经济贸易大学北京市
【文章页数】：74 页
【学位级别】：硕士
【文章目录】：
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
Abstract
中文摘要
List of Acronyms
Chapter 1 Introduction
1.1 Background of the study
1.2 The statement of research question and objectives
1.3 The innovative elements of the research
1.4 Structure of the thesis
Chapter 2 Literature review
2.1 Origin of EKC
2.2 Theoretical foundation of EKC
2.3 Empirical evidence of EKC
2.3.1 Income elasticity of environmental quality and consumer preferences
2.3.2 Equality Considerations
2.3.3 Government and regulations
2.3.4 International Trade
2.3.5 Structural changes and technological progress
2.3.6 Market mechanism
2.4 Alternative methods to explore the driving forces of the CO2
Chapter 3 India’s economic development and CO2 emissions
3.1 India’s social development and economic growth
3.1.1 A summary of five-year plans and significant policy
3.1.2 Change of Economic structure in India
3.2 Energy consumptions and its structure
3.3 CO_2 emissions
Chapter 4 Methodology
4.1 The theoretical framework of EKC model
4.1.1 Selection of control variables
4.2 Estimation Approach: Autoregressive Distributed Lag Model (ARDL)
4.2.1 Stationarity test
4.2.2 Cointegration Test
Chapter 5 Empirical analysis and Results
5.1 Data source
5.2 Results and discussions
5.2.1 Unit root tests
5.2.2 Results of ARDL to cointegration testing
5.2.3 Long run model
5.3 Residual Diagnostic tests
5.4 Stability Diagnostic tests
Chapter 6 Conclusions and Policy Implications
6.1 Conclusion
6.2 Policy Suggestion
6.3 Scope and Limitation
Appendix
References
本文编号：3177727
【文章来源】：首都经济贸易大学北京市
【文章页数】：74 页
【学位级别】：硕士
【文章目录】：
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
Abstract
中文摘要
List of Acronyms
Chapter 1 Introduction
1.1 Background of the study
1.2 The statement of research question and objectives
1.3 The innovative elements of the research
1.4 Structure of the thesis
Chapter 2 Literature review
2.1 Origin of EKC
2.2 Theoretical foundation of EKC
2.3 Empirical evidence of EKC
2.3.1 Income elasticity of environmental quality and consumer preferences
2.3.2 Equality Considerations
2.3.3 Government and regulations
2.3.4 International Trade
2.3.5 Structural changes and technological progress
2.3.6 Market mechanism
2.4 Alternative methods to explore the driving forces of the CO2
Chapter 3 India’s economic development and CO2 emissions
3.1 India’s social development and economic growth
3.1.1 A summary of five-year plans and significant policy
3.1.2 Change of Economic structure in India
3.2 Energy consumptions and its structure
3.3 CO_2 emissions
Chapter 4 Methodology
4.1 The theoretical framework of EKC model
4.1.1 Selection of control variables
4.2 Estimation Approach: Autoregressive Distributed Lag Model (ARDL)
4.2.1 Stationarity test
4.2.2 Cointegration Test
Chapter 5 Empirical analysis and Results
5.1 Data source
5.2 Results and discussions
5.2.1 Unit root tests
5.2.2 Results of ARDL to cointegration testing
5.2.3 Long run model
5.3 Residual Diagnostic tests
5.4 Stability Diagnostic tests
Chapter 6 Conclusions and Policy Implications
6.1 Conclusion
6.2 Policy Suggestion
6.3 Scope and Limitation
Appendix
References
本文编号：3177727
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