高铁运输与民航运输选择下的中长距离出行决策行为

发布时间：2018-01-08 00:21

本文关键词：高铁运输与民航运输选择下的中长距离出行决策行为　出处：《中国公路学报》2016年03期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：为分析旅客在中长距离出行时出行方式选择的影响因素及影响过程,采用自主设计的调查问卷,获得1 295份旅客出行特征数据。按照中长距离常规出行方式分布情况,将交通工具划分为高铁和民航2种。运用非集计理论,将旅客的年龄、性别、职业、目的地、出行目的、出行费用、费用方式等个人特征和出行特征作为影响因素,并将2种出行方式作为选择肢,建立了旅客中长距离出行方式选择行为度量模型,并结合弹性理论分析了各个影响因素的敏感度。研究结果表明:出行距离、目的地城市等级、年龄、出行目的等9个因素对高铁和民航出行方式选择具有较强的影响,其中目的地城市等级、年龄和最希望出发时间的弹性值大于1,表明这3个因素对出行方式选择行为影响敏感度较高。
[Abstract]:In order to analyze the influencing factors and the process of the choice of travel mode during the middle and long distance travel, a self-designed questionnaire was used. 1 295 passenger travel characteristic data were obtained. According to the distribution of medium and long distance routine travel modes, the vehicles were divided into two types: high speed rail and civil aviation. The age and gender of passengers were determined by using the theory of disaggregate. Occupation, destination, travel purpose, travel expenses, travel expenses and other personal characteristics and travel characteristics as the impact factors, and the two modes of travel as the choice limb. In this paper, a model is established to measure the behavior of passengers' medium and long distance travel choice, and the sensitivity of each factor is analyzed with elastic theory. The results show that: travel distance, destination city grade, age. Travel purpose and other nine factors have a strong impact on the choice of high-speed rail and civil aviation travel mode, in which the city grade of destination, age and the most desirable departure time elastic value is greater than 1. These three factors have a high sensitivity to travel mode choice behavior.
【作者单位】：长安大学经济与管理学院;
【基金】：中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金项目(0009-2014G6503015)
【分类号】：U116
【正文快照】： 0引言随着经济的快速发展,高速铁路给出行带来新的选择方式,也改变了区际运输的客运市场结构。随着中国高速铁路网络的不断完善,普通铁路旅客运输供小于求的现象逐渐好转,但中国的航空运输业受此影响较大。在高速铁路网络较为完善的中国东部沿海区域,由于中国民航空域限制等原

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