道路客运现代化评价指标体系研究
发布时间：2018-10-09 07:37
【摘要】：现代化是一个动态的发展过程，它既是人类不断发展的文明标志，同时也是未来发展的趋势。交通运输是国民经济的基础性产业，在社会经济的发展中扮演着非常重要的角色。道路客运作为交通运输综合体系的子系统，其实现现代化对交通运输业，甚至是区域社会经济发展，起着重要的引导和支持作用。实现区域社会经济的现代化，需要立足于社会经济现代化发展水平，对道路客运现代化的进程进行科学、系统、完整地评价，从而有效地把握道路客运现代化的发展进程，为识别道路客运现代化发展的关键性问题，制定实现道路客运现代化的对策措施提供科学有力的依据。因此，能否正确理解和把握道路客运现代化的内涵特征，进而根据各个地区的道路客运发展水平，正确评价道路客运现代化的进程，选择道路客运现代化发展战略对策是一个具有理论和现实意义的课题。所以，建立一套与区域社会经济现代化相适应的道路客运现代化评价指标体系，选择科学合理的评价指标和评价方法，对道路客运发展状况进行客观真实的评价，成为推进道路客运现代化进程的迫切要求。 本文对现代化和道路客运现代化的基本理论进行探讨，阐述了对现代化的认识，明确了道路客运现代化的内涵及特征，提出了道路客运现代化发展的基本要求；在此基础上，从产业经济的角度出发，确定了以系统要素和产业运行二维结构为主体，基础设施、运营系统、辅助支持和市场结构、市场行为、市场绩效六大模块为子系统的评价指标体系总体架构，参照相关研究，得出了指标的测算方法和现代化参考值，通过调查所得数据，对宁波实际情况进行了分析，确定了其现代化的现状值和目标值；确定了产业运行维和系统要素维的子系统发展水平评价、系统要素维与产业运行维的关系评价、系统要素维度各子系统的协调性评价、产业运行维的产业组织评价和道路客运现代化综合评价的评价内容，通过对各类评价方法进行比较分析，并结合研究实际，分别采用主成分分析法、协调发展度判断法、SCP分析范式、灰色关联分析和层次分析法对以上内容进行评价；以宁波市为例，对其道路客运现代化水平进行了综合评价，并对评价结果进行了分析。研究表明：道路客运现代化评价指标体系及评价方法能够准确评价宁波道路客运现代化发展水平及各系统相互作用机制，具有理论科学性和实践应用性，对各地道路客运现代化发展战略对策制定和实施提供参考和借鉴。
[Abstract]:Modernization is a dynamic development process. It is not only the symbol of human civilization, but also the trend of future development. Transportation is the basic industry of national economy and plays a very important role in the development of social economy. As a subsystem of the comprehensive system of transportation, the modernization of road passenger transport plays an important role in guiding and supporting the development of transportation industry and even regional social economy. To realize the modernization of regional social economy, we should base ourselves on the level of the development of social and economic modernization, scientifically, systematically and completely evaluate the process of road passenger transport modernization, so as to effectively grasp the development process of road passenger transport modernization. In order to identify the key problems in the development of road passenger transport modernization and formulate countermeasures to realize the modernization of road passenger transport, the scientific and effective basis is provided. Therefore, can we correctly understand and grasp the connotation characteristics of road passenger transport modernization, and then correctly evaluate the road passenger transport modernization process according to the development level of road passenger transport in various regions? It is of theoretical and practical significance to choose the strategic countermeasures for the development of road passenger transport modernization. Therefore, establish a set of evaluation index system of road passenger transport modernization, choose scientific and reasonable evaluation index and evaluation method, carry on objective and real evaluation to the road passenger transport development condition. It has become an urgent requirement to promote the modernization of road passenger transport. This paper probes into the basic theories of modernization and road passenger transport modernization, expounds the understanding of modernization, clarifies the connotation and characteristics of road passenger transport modernization, and puts forward the basic requirements for the development of road passenger transport modernization. From the angle of industrial economy, it is determined that the system elements and the two-dimensional structure of industrial operation are the main body, the infrastructure, the operation system, the auxiliary support and market structure, and the market behavior. The six modules of market performance are the overall framework of the evaluation index system of the subsystem. Referring to the relevant research, the measuring method and the modern reference value of the index are obtained, and the actual situation of Ningbo is analyzed through the data obtained from the investigation. The status quo and target value of modernization, the evaluation of subsystem development level of industrial operation dimension and system element dimension, the relationship between system element dimension and industry operation dimension, the coordination evaluation of each subsystem of system element dimension are determined. The evaluation contents of industrial organization evaluation and road passenger transport modernization comprehensive evaluation of industrial operation dimension are compared and analyzed through various evaluation methods, and combined with the research practice, principal component analysis method is used respectively. The method of judging the degree of coordinated development is characterized by SCP analysis paradigm, grey relational analysis and analytic hierarchy process, taking Ningbo as an example, the modernization level of road passenger transport is comprehensively evaluated, and the evaluation results are analyzed. The research shows that the evaluation index system and evaluation method of road passenger transport modernization can accurately evaluate the development level of Ningbo road passenger transport modernization and the interaction mechanism of various systems, which is scientific in theory and applicable in practice. It provides reference and reference for the development strategy of road passenger transport modernization.
【学位授予单位】：长安大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：U492.4
本文编号：2258511
[Abstract]:Modernization is a dynamic development process. It is not only the symbol of human civilization, but also the trend of future development. Transportation is the basic industry of national economy and plays a very important role in the development of social economy. As a subsystem of the comprehensive system of transportation, the modernization of road passenger transport plays an important role in guiding and supporting the development of transportation industry and even regional social economy. To realize the modernization of regional social economy, we should base ourselves on the level of the development of social and economic modernization, scientifically, systematically and completely evaluate the process of road passenger transport modernization, so as to effectively grasp the development process of road passenger transport modernization. In order to identify the key problems in the development of road passenger transport modernization and formulate countermeasures to realize the modernization of road passenger transport, the scientific and effective basis is provided. Therefore, can we correctly understand and grasp the connotation characteristics of road passenger transport modernization, and then correctly evaluate the road passenger transport modernization process according to the development level of road passenger transport in various regions? It is of theoretical and practical significance to choose the strategic countermeasures for the development of road passenger transport modernization. Therefore, establish a set of evaluation index system of road passenger transport modernization, choose scientific and reasonable evaluation index and evaluation method, carry on objective and real evaluation to the road passenger transport development condition. It has become an urgent requirement to promote the modernization of road passenger transport. This paper probes into the basic theories of modernization and road passenger transport modernization, expounds the understanding of modernization, clarifies the connotation and characteristics of road passenger transport modernization, and puts forward the basic requirements for the development of road passenger transport modernization. From the angle of industrial economy, it is determined that the system elements and the two-dimensional structure of industrial operation are the main body, the infrastructure, the operation system, the auxiliary support and market structure, and the market behavior. The six modules of market performance are the overall framework of the evaluation index system of the subsystem. Referring to the relevant research, the measuring method and the modern reference value of the index are obtained, and the actual situation of Ningbo is analyzed through the data obtained from the investigation. The status quo and target value of modernization, the evaluation of subsystem development level of industrial operation dimension and system element dimension, the relationship between system element dimension and industry operation dimension, the coordination evaluation of each subsystem of system element dimension are determined. The evaluation contents of industrial organization evaluation and road passenger transport modernization comprehensive evaluation of industrial operation dimension are compared and analyzed through various evaluation methods, and combined with the research practice, principal component analysis method is used respectively. The method of judging the degree of coordinated development is characterized by SCP analysis paradigm, grey relational analysis and analytic hierarchy process, taking Ningbo as an example, the modernization level of road passenger transport is comprehensively evaluated, and the evaluation results are analyzed. The research shows that the evaluation index system and evaluation method of road passenger transport modernization can accurately evaluate the development level of Ningbo road passenger transport modernization and the interaction mechanism of various systems, which is scientific in theory and applicable in practice. It provides reference and reference for the development strategy of road passenger transport modernization.
【学位授予单位】：长安大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：U492.4
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