有限理性下个体出发时间选择行为研究

发布时间：2019-06-14 11:43

【摘要】：个体受限于认知能力和逻辑推理能力的限制,在出行决策过程中很难做到完全理性.本文以出发时间选择为例,在有限理性行为假设基础上,引入空间知识获取、学习及认知更新和方案搜索等关键行为要素,构建有限理性下的出行决策过程理论框架.融合RP和SP调查方法,设计出发时间选择行为意向调查方案.研究个体知识的表达方式,应用贝叶斯学习理论完成认知更新.定义搜索成本和收益函数,利用调查数据分别提取基于PART和RIPPER算法的出发时间启发式搜索规则和决策规则.结果表明,有限理性下个体出发时间选择行为存在感知阈值,而并非寻求全局最优解.
[Abstract]:The individual is limited by the ability of cognitive ability and logic reasoning, and it is difficult to achieve complete rationality in the course of travel decision-making. Taking the time of departure as an example, this paper, based on the assumption of limited rational behavior, introduces the key behavior factors such as space knowledge acquisition, learning and cognitive update and program search, and constructs the theoretical framework of the travel decision-making process under the limited rationality. Combined with RP and SP investigation methods, the design departure time selection behavior intention investigation plan is designed. The expression of the individual's knowledge is studied, and the cognitive update is completed by applying the Bayesian learning theory. The search cost and the benefit function are defined, and the heuristic search rules and decision rules based on the PART and the RIPPER algorithm are respectively extracted by the survey data. The results show that the individual departure time selection behavior of the limited reason is the perception threshold, and not the global optimal solution.
【作者单位】：淮阴工学院管理工程学院;上海交通大学安泰经济与管理学院;
【基金】：国家自然科学青年基金项目(71403096) 江苏省教育厅高校哲学社会科学基金项目(2013SJD630005) 住房和城乡建设部科学技术计划项目(2013-k5-4)~~
【分类号】：U491

【相似文献】