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基于IAD延伸决策模型的农户耕地休养意愿研究

发布时间:2018-02-28 18:07

  本文关键词: 土地管理 耕地休养 IAD延伸决策模型 农户意愿 休养规则 出处:《自然资源学报》2017年02期  论文类型:期刊论文


【摘要】:基于IAD延伸决策模型,通过1 004个农户样本数据的二元Logistic整体回归及分组回归分析发现:农户耕地休养意愿同时受到户主特征及家庭概况变量、耕地休养规则变量、休养环境与市场变量和认知改革变量的影响。农户生境的耕地依赖性制约了耕地休养;曾撂荒农户和未撂荒农户在4个方面变量,尤其是休养规则偏好上存在显著差异。曾撂荒农户倾向于自由度高、政府遴选权力低的休养规则,未撂荒农户更倾向于补偿标准高、有一定决策自由度的休养规则;在IAD语境下的进一步讨论表明以多元模式为代表的休养规则可能有效改善耕地质量,但在整个耕地休养的动态过程中,需要注意区分不同参与主体,选择性地允许农户参与构建相关规则,从而促进耕地休养的可持续性。
[Abstract]:Based on the extended decision model of IAD, the binary Logistic regression and grouping regression analysis of 1 004 sample data of farm households were used to find that the willingness of farmland recuperation was influenced by the characteristics of the head of household and the variables of the family profile, and the variables of the cultivated land recuperation rule at the same time. The influence of recuperation environment and market variables and cognitive reform variables. The farmland dependence of farmers' habitat restricts the cultivated land recuperation, the former abandoned farmers and the unabandoned farmers have four variables. In particular, there are significant differences in the preference of rest and recuperation rules. The former abandoned farmers tend to have high degree of freedom, the government has low power to choose the rest and recuperation rules, and the non-abandoned farmers prefer the rest and recuperation rules with high compensation standard and certain degree of freedom of decision-making. The further discussion in the context of IAD shows that the rest and recuperation rules, represented by multiple models, may effectively improve the quality of cultivated land, but in the whole dynamic process of cultivated land rest and recuperation, attention should be paid to distinguish different participants. Farmers are selectively allowed to participate in the construction of relevant rules, thus promoting the sustainability of cultivated land rest and recuperation.
【作者单位】: 浙江大学土地与国家发展研究院;
【基金】:国家社会科学基金重大项目(14ZDA039)~~
【分类号】:F323.211

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