道路运输车辆能耗统计数据有效性阈值的研究

发布时间：2018-02-25 06:18

本文关键词： 能源消耗节能减排交通运输　出处：《长安大学》2016年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：2009年联合国气候变化哥本哈根大会上,中国政府宣布到2020年单位国内生产总值二氧化碳排放量比2005年下降40%~45%,为国家中长期节能减排工作确定了目标。交通运输行业是石油消耗大户,我国交通能源利用效率较国外发达国家有很大差距。《2006年IPCC指南》提供了道路运输各种燃料的碳排放系数,通过统计各种能源(燃料)的消耗量,可以计算出道路交通运输行业的碳排放量,并提供碳排放清单。因此,交通运输行业能耗监测与统计是制定交通运输行业碳排放清单的基础与重要支撑。本文在浙江省交通科技项目的支持下完成。本文通过对不同车型公告综合油耗数据进行回归分析,得到客车综合油耗随客车长度的变化规律和货车综合油耗随货车质量的变化规律;其次,通过计算不同回归分析方法拟合规律R平方值,对拟合规律的可靠性进行分析;最后,确定了各特征长度客车(新车)、各特征质量货车的标准单耗,作为油耗阈值确定的基础。本文依据汽车能耗影响因素以及车辆公告油耗数据特性,利用德尔菲法建立了客车能耗统计数据校验有效性阈值确定方法;研究了各特征长度下客车标准油耗的分布特性,确定各特征长度客车实际油耗的有效性阈值;研究了各特征质量下货车标准油耗的分布特性,确定各特征质量货车标准油耗分布特性及有效性阈值。研究成果已经在浙江省(绿色交通省)“交通运输能耗统计与监测平台”上使用,对省内运输企业能耗统计起到了数据校验的基础作用。
[Abstract]:At the United Nations Climate change Conference in Copenhagen on 2009, The Chinese government has announced that by 2020, carbon dioxide emissions per unit of gross domestic product (GDP) will be 40% lower than 2005, setting targets for the country's medium- and long-term energy saving and emission reduction work. The transportation industry is a major consumer of oil. The efficiency of transportation energy utilization in China is much lower than that in developed countries abroad. In 2006, the IPCC Guide provides the carbon emission coefficient of all kinds of fuels in road transportation, and counts the consumption of all kinds of energy (fuel). It is possible to calculate the carbon emissions of the road transport industry and to provide a carbon inventory. Energy consumption monitoring and statistics of transportation industry is the basis and important support for making carbon emission inventory of transportation industry. This paper is completed with the support of transportation science and technology project in Zhejiang province. Regression analysis of the data, The variation law of bus comprehensive fuel consumption with bus length and freight car comprehensive fuel consumption with freight car quality is obtained. Secondly, the reliability of fitting law is analyzed by calculating the R square value of different regression analysis methods. The standard unit consumption of each characteristic length passenger car (new car car, each characteristic quality truck) is determined as the basis of determining the fuel consumption threshold. According to the influencing factors of vehicle energy consumption and the characteristics of fuel consumption data of vehicle announcement, Using Delphi method, the validity threshold determination method of bus energy consumption statistics data is established, the distribution characteristics of bus standard fuel consumption under each characteristic length is studied, and the effective threshold value of actual fuel consumption of each characteristic length passenger car is determined. The distribution characteristics of standard fuel consumption of freight cars under different characteristic quality are studied. The distribution characteristics of standard fuel consumption and the effective threshold of each characteristic quality freight car are determined. The research results have been used in the "Transport Energy Statistics and Monitoring platform" in Zhejiang Province (Green Transport Ministry). Energy consumption statistics of transportation enterprises in the province played a basic role in data verification.
【学位授予单位】：长安大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2016
【分类号】：U471.23

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