烟台港西港区30万吨级原油码头风险管理研究

发布时间：2018-03-30 09:00

本文选题：风险识别　切入点：层次分析法　出处：《中国海洋大学》2015年硕士论文

【摘要】：烟台港西港区正在建设现代化、综合、完善的液化油储运体系,将成为山东省乃至环渤海湾重要的能源中转枢纽口岸和千万吨级的能源储备基地。因此,在烟台港建设30万吨级原油码头迫在眉睫。因其建设具有投资大、建设周期长、技术要求高等特点,在投资建设过程中不可避免的存在着各种各样的风险,所以有必要对烟台港西港区建设项目进行风险管理研究。本文共分六部分：第一部分,首先归纳总结了选题的背景及意义,国内外在风险管理方面的主要研究现状及创新点。第二部分,介绍了项目风险管理相关理论基础,为本文对烟台港西港区30万吨级原油码头风险管理的分析提供理论依据。第三部分,对烟台港西港区30万吨级原油码头建设工程项目的建设条件、环境、必要性等进行简单介绍。第四部分,烟台港西港区30万吨级原油码头项目风险因素的识别分析,对项目投资决策阶段、建设阶段、运营阶段等各个阶段存在风险等因素进行识别。第五部分,烟台港西港区30万吨级原油码头建设工程项目风险管理评价,选择层次分析方法和模糊评价法来评价项目建设工程的风险管理,为各方面情况做出明确和可比较的分析结果。第六部分,在项目风险因素识别的基础上,根据模糊综合评价的测算水平,得出烟台港西港区30万吨级原油码头建设工程项目风险的控制策略。通过分析研究,文章在最后得出如下结论：将风险管理的理论知识应用到港口码头建设项目当中,可以有效避免相关风险因素给项目带来的损失。针对三个阶段的风险因素,本文提出了相应的风险控制措施,从而使项目风险处于可控的范围内,为港口码头经营者在建设港口码头项目时能够有效控制风险,减少投资损失提供了参考和依据,为我国大型港区建设工程提供有益的借鉴。
[Abstract]:A modern, comprehensive and perfect liquefied oil storage and transportation system is being built in the Xigang District of Yantai Port, which will become an important energy transit hub port and a ten-million-tonnage energy reserve base in Shandong Province and even around the Bohai Bay. It is urgent to build 300,000-ton crude oil terminal in Yantai Port. Due to its characteristics of large investment, long construction period and high technical requirements, various kinds of risks inevitably exist in the process of investment and construction. Therefore, it is necessary to carry out risk management research on the construction project of Yantai Port West Port. This paper is divided into six parts: the first part summarizes the background and significance of the topic. The main research status and innovation points of risk management at home and abroad. The second part introduces the theoretical basis of project risk management. This paper provides a theoretical basis for the risk management analysis of 300,000-ton crude oil terminal in Xigang District of Yantai Port. The third part is about the construction conditions and environment of the construction project of 300,000-ton crude oil terminal in Xigang District of Yantai Port. The fourth part, the identification and analysis of the risk factors of the 300,000-ton crude oil terminal project in Xigang District of Yantai Port, the investment decision stage and the construction stage of the project, The fifth part, risk management evaluation of 300,000-ton crude oil terminal construction project in Xigang District of Yantai Port, The AHP method and the fuzzy evaluation method are selected to evaluate the risk management of the project construction project, and the analysis results are clear and comparable for all aspects. Part VI, on the basis of the identification of the project risk factors, According to the calculation level of fuzzy comprehensive evaluation, the risk control strategy of 300,000-ton crude oil terminal construction project in Xigang District of Yantai Port is obtained. Finally, the paper draws the following conclusions: applying the theory of risk management to the port wharf construction project can effectively avoid the loss caused by the related risk factors. In this paper, the corresponding risk control measures are put forward, so that the project risk can be controlled within the scope of control, which provides a reference and basis for the port terminal operator to effectively control the risk and reduce the investment loss when constructing the port terminal project. To provide useful reference for large-scale port construction projects in China.
【学位授予单位】：中国海洋大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2015
【分类号】：U655.1

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