水电厂电力设备事故应急响应FPN-MC模型及效能分析

发布时间：2018-06-23 23:53

  本文选题：水电厂电力设备 + 应急响应　； 参考：《中国安全生产科学技术》2017年04期

【摘要】：为更好地利用信息技术研究水电厂电力设备事故应急效能,提高应急救援效率和应急处置能力,综合考虑应急响应过程中各个环节时间的随机性与模糊性,运用模糊Petri网(FPN)和马尔科夫链(MC)理论,构建水电厂电力设备事故应急响应FPN-MC模型,求解模糊稳态概率值并分析系统效能指标。最后,以ZLB水电厂电力设备事故Ⅲ级应急响应作为实例,进一步剖析应急流程信息拥挤的瓶颈环节及事件应急处置的关键节点。结果表明:应急资源使用完毕、相关人员现场处置到位、确定完善的处置方案时的状态最为繁忙;利用资源实施救援、相关人员进行现场处置、完善处置方案等实施过程需要重点监督和管理。
[Abstract]:In order to make better use of information technology to study the emergency efficiency of power equipment accidents in hydropower plants, and to improve the efficiency of emergency rescue and emergency handling, the randomness and fuzziness of each link in the process of emergency response are considered synthetically. Based on the theory of fuzzy Petri net (FPN) and Markov chain (MC), the FPN-MC model of emergency response to power equipment accident in hydropower plant is constructed. The fuzzy steady-state probability value is solved and the system effectiveness index is analyzed. Finally, taking the level 鈪，

本文编号：2059005