综合利用水利枢纽PPP项目特许运营阶段风险分担研究

发布时间：2018-07-04 21:31

本文选题：综合利用水利枢纽 + PPP项目　；参考：《华北水利水电大学》2017年硕士论文

【摘要】：水利是农业发展的命脉,是国民经济和社会发展的重要基础。合理开发利用水利资源,兴水利除水害,需要切实提高水资源的利用效率与效益,力争做到兴水惠民。综合利用水利枢纽就是兴水惠民的重要项目,其同时承担防洪、发电、灌溉、旅游、航运等多项任务。由于综合利用水利枢纽PPP项目建设工期长、投资规模大、风险因素多等特点,项目中的主要风险能否被公平合理地分担是项目成败的关键所在。本文通过引入利益相关者理论,视PPP项目为利益主体多元化的综合系统,在识别综合利用水利枢纽PPP项目特许运营阶段风险因素、评估综合利用水利枢纽PPP项目特许运营阶段关键风险因素、考虑合作双方风险偏好与风险承受能力的基础上,建立了PPP项目风险分担机制,将项目风险分为共担风险和非共担风险,针对共担风险,构建了在完全信息和不完全信息条件下的讨价还价博弈模型,并分别得出其均衡解。本课题研究不仅从理论上补充了PPP项目风险分担研究的不足,而且实践上也为合理确定项目参与方风险分配份额提供了决策依据,切实保障了项目的顺利进行,为PPP模式在我国的健康发展做出了一定贡献。
[Abstract]:Water conservancy is the lifeblood of agricultural development and the important foundation of national economy and social development. It is necessary to improve the efficiency and benefit of water resources in order to develop and utilize water resources reasonably and to promote water conservancy to benefit the people. Comprehensive utilization of water conservancy projects is an important project for the benefit of the people, which simultaneously undertakes many tasks such as flood control, power generation, irrigation, tourism, shipping and so on. Due to the characteristics of long construction period, large investment scale and many risk factors, whether the main risks in the project can be shared fairly and reasonably is the key to the success or failure of the project. By introducing stakeholder theory and considering PPP project as a comprehensive system of multiple stakeholders, this paper identifies the risk factors in the stage of franchise operation of PPP project in comprehensive utilization of water conservancy project. The risk sharing mechanism of PPP project is established on the basis of synthetically utilizing the key risk factors of PPP project in franchise operation stage and considering the risk preference and risk bearing capacity of both partners. The project risk is divided into shared risk and non-shared risk. The bargaining game model under the condition of complete information and incomplete information is constructed and its equilibrium solution is obtained respectively. This research not only complements the deficiency of PPP project risk sharing research theoretically, but also provides the decision basis for determining the risk allocation share of project participants reasonably, and ensures the smooth progress of the project. It has contributed to the healthy development of PPP in China.
【学位授予单位】：华北水利水电大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：F283;F426.91

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