基于总量管理的北京市水资源动态供需平衡

发布时间：2018-01-11 23:29

本文关键词：基于总量管理的北京市水资源动态供需平衡　出处：《系统工程》2014年04期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：基于总量管理策略,以吴季松教授创立的水资源总量控制工程管理动平衡态模型为理论基础,开展北京市水资源系统管理应用研究。研究从生活用水、生产用水和生态用水方面分析了北京市水资源需求的发展特点,并从地表水供给、地下水供给和再生水供给方面分析了水资源供给的现状及未来发展趋势,对2015~2050年北京市水资源动态供需平衡关系进行了预测评价。为实现北京市水资源动态供需平衡,应合理利用南水北调水资源,提高再生水利用规模,加大地表水资源和再生水资源的供给,并从长远考虑,建议从人口总量控制、实施渤海水淡化调水入京、实行严格的水资源管理制度等方面采取措施,保障北京市水资源的可持续发展。
[Abstract]:Based on the strategy of total quantity management, based on the dynamic equilibrium model of water resources total quantity control project management established by Professor Wu Jisong, the research on the application of water resources system management in Beijing is carried out. The development characteristics of water resources demand in Beijing are analyzed in terms of production water and ecological water, and the present situation and future development trend of water resources supply are analyzed from the aspects of surface water supply, groundwater supply and reclaimed water supply. The dynamic supply and demand balance of water resources in Beijing from 2015 to 2050 is forecasted and evaluated. In order to realize the dynamic supply and demand balance of water resources in Beijing, the water resources of South-to-North Water transfer should be reasonably utilized. To increase the scale of reclaimed water utilization, increase the supply of surface water resources and renewable water resources, and from the long-term perspective, it is suggested to control the total population and to implement desalination of the Bohai Sea and sea water to transfer water into Beijing. Measures should be taken to ensure the sustainable development of water resources in Beijing.
【作者单位】：北京航空航天大学经济管理学院;
【分类号】：TV213.4
【正文快照】： 1引言随着经济社会的快速发展,以及人口增长对水资源的巨大需求,我国正在进入中度缺水国家行列,尤其北京市作为北方地区严重缺水的大中型城市,对水资源具有更加紧迫的需求[1,2]。在此形势下,我国已着力实行最严格的水资源管理制度,将水资源、水环境工程总量控制作为我国治水的

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