水资源论证后评估指标体系及方法研究

发布时间：2018-03-28 16:30

本文选题：水资源论证　切入点：后评估　出处：《长江科学院》2014年硕士论文

【摘要】：后评估对于总结项目管理的经验教训、提高项目决策的科学化水平起着至关重要的作用，国内各行业对项目后评估工作日益重视。2011年水利部办公厅发布《关于开展建设项目水资源论证后评估工作的通知》和2012年国务院颁布《国务院关于实行最严格水资源管理制度的意见》体现了我国高度重视水资源管理，重视水资源管理技术创新。水资源论证后评估工作的开展，有利于实现水资源的可持续发展。本文以水资源论证后评估为研究对象，对水资源论证后评估的理论、方法和应用进行探索，以期提出水资源论证后评估的理论、方法和应用体系，促进水资源管理工作的高效开展和科学管理。本文首先从发达国家、国际金融组织以及发展中国家的后评估发展过程中，总结经验教训，探索适合水资源论证后评估的体系。详细阐述了后评估方法中常用的四种研究方法，即对比分析法、逻辑框架评估法、成功度评估法和模糊综合评估法，分析每种研究方法的优缺点和应用范围，并提出了后评估研究方法的整体思路。本文重点在于建立水资源论证后评估的指标体系。根据指标建立原则，，结合建设项目不同行业用水特点的不同，及项目运行的实际情况不一样等因素，选择从管理层面和技术层面两方面对用水量较大的四类建设项目行业（水电行业、水利行业、造纸行业和化工行业）构建了水资源论证指标体系。最后，针对火电建设项目的特点，建立了对比分析法和改进的模糊综合评估法相耦合的后评估综合评估模型。运用华能上海石洞口第二电厂二期建设项目作为案例进行了应用研究，评估结果表明后评估综合评估模型操作方法简单且能比较客观的反映评估对象的客观实际，评估结论可靠，是建设项目水资源论证后评估的一种理想、有效的方法。
[Abstract]:Post-evaluation plays an important role in summing up the experiences and lessons of project management and improving the scientific level of project decision-making. In 2011, the General Office of the Ministry of Water Resources issued the notice on the post-evaluation of water resources in construction projects and the State Council issued the State Council on the implementation of the strictest water in 2012. The opinions of the resource management system show that China attaches great importance to the management of water resources. It is helpful to realize the sustainable development of water resources by attaching importance to the technological innovation of water resources management and carrying out the post-evaluation work of water resources argumentation. In this paper, the theory, method and application of post-evaluation of water resources demonstration are explored in order to put forward the theory, method and application system of post-evaluation of water resources demonstration. To promote the efficient development and scientific management of water resources management. This paper first summarizes the experience and lessons learned from the post-assessment and development process of developed countries, international financial organizations and developing countries. This paper explores a system suitable for post-evaluation of water resources demonstration, and expounds in detail four kinds of research methods commonly used in post-assessment, namely, comparative analysis, logical framework assessment, success evaluation and fuzzy comprehensive evaluation. The advantages and disadvantages of each research method and its application scope are analyzed, and the overall idea of post-evaluation research method is put forward. The key point of this paper is to establish the index system of water resources argumentation and post-evaluation. According to the principle of index establishment, combined with the different characteristics of water use in different industries of construction projects, and the different actual conditions of project operation, etc. The index system of water resources argumentation is constructed from the aspects of management and technology for four kinds of construction project industries (hydropower industry, water conservancy industry, paper industry and chemical industry). Finally, in view of the characteristics of thermal power construction projects, In this paper, a comparative analysis method and an improved fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method are established. The application of Huaneng Shanghai Shidongkou second phase power plant construction project as a case study is carried out. The evaluation results show that the post-evaluation comprehensive assessment model is simple and objective to reflect the objective reality of the evaluation object, and the evaluation conclusion is reliable. It is an ideal and effective method for post-evaluation of water resources demonstration of construction projects.
【学位授予单位】：长江科学院
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：TV213.4

【参考文献】