基于耦合模型的赣江水源保护区城市发展与水资源环境关系研究

发布时间：2018-07-03 16:06

本文选题：赣江流域 + 耦合模型　；参考：《水土保持研究》2014年06期

【摘要】：识别和评价流域水源保护区城市发展与水资源环境耦合状态,可为促进区域生态环境建设提供参考。本研究以赣江上游水源保护区为例,通过构建耦合度模型对2001—2011年赣江上游流域城市发展与水资源环境耦合状态进行评价,并提出了相应优化路径。结果表明:(1)研究期内赣江水源保护区城市经济发展指数与水资源环境指数呈同步上升趋势,基本处于协调状态;(2)城市经济发展与水资源环境系统呈现出交互耦合状态,具有波动向前发展趋势,整体上经历了拮抗阶段和磨合阶段2个阶段;(3)研究期内耦合度变化明显,由低度协调共生阶段向协调发展阶段转变,具有明显后发优势。在此基础上,为实现城市发展与水资源环境耦合由低水平协调共生阶段向高水平耦合阶段演化,提出了基于稳定性理念的保障路径以及可持续性发展的激励路径,以期为实现流域水源保护区社会经济的可持续发展提供借鉴。
[Abstract]:The identification and evaluation of the coupling state between urban development and water resources environment in watershed water conservation areas can provide a reference for promoting the construction of regional ecological environment. Taking the upstream Ganjiang water conservation area as an example, the coupling degree model was constructed to evaluate the coupling state between urban development and water resources environment in the upstream of Ganjiang River from 2001 to 2011, and the corresponding optimization path was proposed. The results are as follows: (1) the urban economic development index and the water resources environment index of Ganjiang water conservation area are rising synchronously during the period of study, and they are basically in a coordinated state; (2) the urban economic development and the water resources environment system show an interactive coupling state. It has the trend of fluctuation and forward development, and it has experienced two stages: antagonistic stage and running-in stage. (3) the coupling degree changes obviously in the research period, which changes from the low-degree coordinated symbiotic stage to the coordinated development stage, and has obvious advantage in late development. On this basis, in order to realize the evolution of urban development and water resources environment coupling from low level coordination and symbiotic stage to high level coupling stage, the paper puts forward the guarantee path based on the concept of stability and the incentive path of sustainable development. The aim is to provide reference for the sustainable development of water resources protection area.
【作者单位】：浙江大学公共管理学院;
【基金】：国家社会科学基金重大项目(14ZDA039);国家社会科学基金重点项目(13AZD012)
【分类号】：F299.2;TV213

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