中国水资源管理适应气候变化的研究综述

发布时间：2018-07-04 11:18

本文选题：气候变化 + 水资源　；参考：《长江流域资源与环境》2015年12期

【摘要】：以全球变暖为特征的气候变化已成为当今科学界、各国政府和社会公众普遍关注的最重要议题之一。气候变化对水资源管理的影响是具有重要学术价值的新兴研究方向,目前的重点研究领域主要包括:气候变化背景下水资源综合管理方式与集成研究,气候变化下水资源适应性管理机制,中国面临的水资源均衡性管理,公众参与水资源适应性管理的政策制定,对减缓措施与水资源可持续发展的认识。主要的研究方法包括:适应气候变化的定性分析方法(多尺度适应综合分析方法)、成本效益分析方法等。适应性管理是目前应对气候变化伴随的不确定性问题的有效策略,未来应在分析中国各流域水资源不确定性问题的基础上,建立气候变化情景下适应气候变化的水资源适应性管理体制机制。
[Abstract]:Climate change, characterized by global warming, has become one of the most important issues concerned by the scientific community, governments and the public. The impact of climate change on water resources management is a new research direction with important academic value. The key research areas include: integrated water resources management methods and integrated research in the context of climate change. The adaptive management mechanism of water resources under climate change, the balanced management of water resources faced by China, the policy making of public participation in adaptive management of water resources, and the understanding of mitigation measures and sustainable development of water resources. The main research methods include: qualitative analysis method for climate change adaptation (multi-scale adaptation analysis method), cost-benefit analysis method and so on. Adaptive management is an effective strategy to deal with the uncertainties associated with climate change. In the future, it should be based on the analysis of the uncertainty of water resources in various basins in China. To establish the adaptive management mechanism of water resources in climate change scenarios.
【作者单位】：清华大学公共管理学院清华大学中国农村研究院;
【基金】：国家自然科学基金项目(71573151) 国家社会科学基金重大项目(15ZDB164) 清华大学自主科研计划(2014z04083)
【分类号】：P467;TV213.4

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