中原城市群水资源承载力调控措施及效果分析

发布时间：2018-09-16 20:03

【摘要】：水资源短缺制约着中原城市群的协调发展和城市群总体功能的发挥。为提高水资源承载能力,采用水资源承载GDP总量和人均GDP表征城市群的水资源承载能力,采用系统的思想,把中原城市群作为一个完整系统,遵循系统内水资源共享的原则,从供水结构调整、水资源高效利用、经济结构调整和人口分布调整四个方面构建调控方案。基于水资源优化配置模型,分析各调控措施对提高中原城市群水资源承载能力的效果。结果表明:调整各城市黄河引水指标及南水北调中线引水指标、提高水资源利用效率、提高第二和第三产业比重、改变各城市人口分布,都能不同程度地提高城市群的水资源承载能力;采用各项调控措施时,水资源承载的经济总规模为35 216.1亿元、人均GDP为77 356元,超过规划的2020水平年中原城市群经济发展规模。
[Abstract]:The shortage of water resources restricts the coordinated development of the urban agglomeration and the exertion of the overall function of the urban agglomeration. In order to improve the carrying capacity of water resources, water resources carrying GDP and per capita GDP are used to characterize the water resources carrying capacity of urban agglomeration. The central plains urban agglomeration is regarded as a complete system and follows the principle of water resources sharing in the system. The adjustment and control scheme is constructed from four aspects: water supply structure adjustment, water resources efficient utilization, economic structure adjustment and population distribution adjustment. Based on the optimal allocation model of water resources, the effects of various control measures on improving the carrying capacity of water resources in urban agglomeration in Central China are analyzed. The results show that adjusting the water diversion index of the Yellow River and the middle route of the South-to-North Water transfer Project, improving the efficiency of water resources utilization, increasing the proportion of the secondary and tertiary industries, and changing the population distribution of each city, The total economic scale of water resources carrying capacity is 3.52161 trillion yuan, the average GDP is 77,356 yuan, which exceeds the planned 2020 level of economic development scale of central China urban agglomeration.
【作者单位】：郑州大学水利与环境学院;南水北调中线干线工程建设管理局河南直管建设管理局;
【基金】：国家自然科学基金资助项目(51379191)
【分类号】：TV213.4

【共引文献】