邢台市水资源生态足迹核算与预测研究

发布时间：2019-05-06 12:34

【摘要】：运用生态足迹理论和灰色预测GM(1,1)模型等方法,对邢台市区2001—2010年的水资源生态足迹、水资源生态承载力进行计算,分析了水资源可持续发展状况,并对水资源生态赤字进行预测。结果表明,邢台市区水资源一直处于生态赤字状态,而且水资源生态赤字呈逐年增大的趋势,表明邢台市区水资源的利用与管理是不可持续的。尽管由于科学技术水平的提高和人们节水意识增强,水资源利用与管理正在逐渐趋于合理,但水资源仍处于生态赤字状态,意味着邢台市水资源在今后一定时期形势仍较严峻。因此,必须对邢台市水资源进行合理开发利用和科学管理,以促进邢台市区水资源可持续利用。
[Abstract]:Based on the ecological footprint theory and grey prediction GM (1,1) model, the ecological footprint and ecological carrying capacity of water resources in Xingtai City from 2001 to 2010 are calculated, and the status of sustainable development of water resources is analyzed. And forecast the ecological deficit of water resources. The results show that the water resources in Xingtai city are always in the state of ecological deficit, and the ecological deficit of water resources is increasing year by year, which indicates that the utilization and management of water resources in Xingtai city is not sustainable. Although the utilization and management of water resources are gradually becoming rational due to the improvement of scientific and technological level and people's awareness of water saving, the water resources are still in the state of ecological deficit, which means that the situation of water resources in Xingtai City is still severe in a certain period of time. In order to promote the sustainable utilization of water resources in Xingtai City, rational exploitation and scientific management must be carried out in order to promote the sustainable utilization of water resources in Xingtai City.
【作者单位】：邢台学院地理系;邢台市第三十中学;河北师范大学资源与环境科学学院;
【基金】：河北省自然科学基金项目“生态足迹动态仿真及驱动因素与良性调控机制研究——以邢台市为例”(D2012108001) 河北省高等学校科学研究计划项目“邢台市能源消费碳排放足迹的动态变化及能源利用结构优化对策研究”(ZD20132007)
【分类号】：TV213.4

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