基于AHP中小型设备贸易类企业项目风险评估与控制

发布时间：2018-01-24 06:01

本文关键词： 设备贸易中小企业风险识别风险控制层次分析法　出处：《上海交通大学》2015年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：风险的存在是客观的,是管理者必须面对的不容忽视的事实。任何一个企业在发展过程中,都会面临各种风险,可能因为宏观环境的起伏变化,也可能是企业本身的战略与行业环境的不匹配,还有可能是经营过程中总体管控不够良好。中小企业更不例外,甚至会面临更多风险。各种风险的发生会带来不同程度的损失,影响企业的收益,对于从事设备贸易的中小企业,单个订单金额偏大,一个订单的失误就有可能带来重大打击。如何有效规避风险,将其控制在可控范围内,关乎企业的生存与发展。中小企业体量小,风险管理意识薄弱,抗风险能力较差,所以在风险控制方面更加需要加强。本文在对风险知识进行学习和研究基础上,分析了从事设备贸易的中小企业特点和现行项目风险管控状况,对E公司项目风险进行分析评估,得出风险因素的主次顺序排列,同时结合笔者多年实际工作经验,提出适合从事设备贸易的中小企业的风险应对方法,最终通过实例验证措施的有效性。文章主要分为五个部分,第一部分,了解国内外风险管理理论研究的现状,风险相关概念,介绍本文的研究思路;第二部分,介绍本文的研究对象E公司情况,通过工作流程作业安全分析和岗位what if分析E公司的项目风险,对各类项目风险进行识别,以案例生动形象表明;第三部分,通过AHP法进行风险识别,甄别出主要风险;第四部分,针对各风险采取相应的应对措施,并通过实例验证部分措施的有效性;第五部分,得出结论,展望未来。在国外,风险管理得到了高度重视,已经成为项目管理十项中的一项,在我国,风险管理起步较晚,被重视程度偏低,中小企业家需要意识到风险管理的重要,将开拓市场的经营策略进行提升到兼顾风险控制的高度,控制好风险就是减少损失,间接增加收益。
[Abstract]:The existence of risk is objective, is the manager must face the fact that can not be ignored. Any enterprise in the development process, will face a variety of risks, may be due to the fluctuation of the macro environment. It may also be the mismatch between the strategy of the enterprise itself and the environment of the industry, and it may also be that the overall control in the course of operation is not good enough, and the small and medium-sized enterprises are no exception. Even more risks will be faced. The occurrence of various risks will bring about varying degrees of losses, affecting the income of enterprises. For small and medium-sized enterprises engaged in equipment trade, the amount of individual orders is on the high side. How to effectively avoid risk and control it within the controllable range is related to the survival and development of enterprises. Small and medium-sized enterprises have small volume and weak awareness of risk management. The ability to resist risk is poor, so the risk control needs to be strengthened. This paper is based on the study and research of risk knowledge. This paper analyzes the characteristics of small and medium-sized enterprises engaged in equipment trade and the current situation of project risk control, analyzes and evaluates the project risk of E Company, and obtains the sequence of risk factors. At the same time, combined with the author's many years of practical work experience, the author puts forward a risk response method suitable for small and medium-sized enterprises engaged in equipment trade, and finally verifies the effectiveness of the measures through examples. The article is mainly divided into five parts, the first part. Understand the domestic and foreign risk management theory research status quo, risk related concepts, introduce the research ideas of this paper; The second part, introduces the research object E company situation, through the workflow job safety analysis and the post what if analysis E company project risk, carries on the identification to each kind of project risk. The case is vividly illustrated; The third part, through the AHP method to identify the risk, identify the main risks; In the 4th part, we take corresponding measures to deal with each risk, and verify the effectiveness of some measures by examples. In the 5th part, we draw a conclusion and look forward to the future. In foreign countries, risk management has been attached great importance to, has become one of the ten items of project management. In our country, risk management started late and was paid less attention. Small and medium-sized entrepreneurs need to realize the importance of risk management and promote the marketing strategy to take risk control into account. To control risk well is to reduce losses and indirectly increase profits.
【学位授予单位】：上海交通大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2015
【分类号】：F272.3;F426.4;F752

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