中国工业行业碳强度的因素分析——基于超越对数生产函数

发布时间：2018-04-07 15:14

本文选题：工业行业碳强度　切入点：碳强度产出弹性　出处：《北京理工大学学报(社会科学版)》2016年03期

【摘要】：为探究工业行业碳强度变化的成因,基于Kaya恒等式的碳强度分解,以碳强度表示产出,以经济增长、能源消费量、能源消费结构和技术进步为投入要素构建超越对数生产函数,通过各要素的碳强度产出弹性反映各要素对碳强度的贡献;并运用通径分析法进一步揭示各要素间的相互关系及其与碳强度的直接和间接关系。结果表明:能源消费结构的优化和技术进步抑制了工业行业碳强度的增长,能源消费量的增长和工业增加值的增长拉动了碳强度的增长,其中能源消费结构和能源消费量对工业行业碳强度的影响显著,因此降低工业行业碳强度的关键在于减少能源消费结构和能源消费量的碳强度产出弹性;能源消费量、工业增加值和能源消费结构对能源消费量的碳强度产出弹性起直接推动作用,技术进步起直接抑制作用;工业增加值和能源消费量对能源消费结构的碳强度产出弹性起直接推动作用,技术进步和能源消费结构起直接抑制作用。可见,工业行业对能源消费的依赖性较强,降低工业行业碳强度应主要依靠技术进步转变能源利用方式,提高能源效率,优化能源消费结构。
[Abstract]:For the reason of industrial carbon intensity, carbon intensity decomposition based on the Kaya identity, the carbon intensity output, economic growth, energy consumption, energy consumption structure and technological progress as the input factors to construct the translog production function, reflect their contribution to the carbon intensity of the carbon intensity of the output elasticity of factors; and use the method of path analysis further reveals the mutual relations between the elements and the carbon intensity of the direct and indirect relationship. The results show that the optimization of energy consumption structure and technological progress inhibited the carbon intensity of industrial growth in the industry, energy consumption growth and industrial added value growth in carbon intensity growth, influence the structure of energy consumption and energy consumption of industrial carbon intensity significantly, so the key to reduce the carbon intensity of industrial sectors in reducing energy consumption and energy consumption structure The output elasticity of the amount of carbon intensity; energy consumption, the added value of the industrial structure and energy consumption of the energy consumption of the carbon intensity of the output elasticity of direct role in promoting technological progress plays a direct inhibitory effect; industrial added value and the energy consumption of the energy consumption structure of carbon intensity will directly influence the output elasticity, technological progress and the energy consumption structure play a direct inhibitory effect. Therefore, the industry strong dependence on energy consumption, reduce industrial carbon intensity should mainly rely on technological progress to change the way of energy utilization, improve energy efficiency, optimize energy consumption structure.

【作者单位】：燕山大学经济管理学院;
【基金】：燕山大学青年教师自主研究计划课题“基于灵敏度分析的河北省能源结构调整的碳减排效应研究”(14SKA003) 河北省高等学校人文社会科学重点研究基地项目“京津冀能源消耗碳足迹的演化路径与情景模拟研究” 河北省自然科学基金资助项目“灵敏度视角下河北省能源结构变动对碳排放的影响及其优化研究”(G2016203011);河北省自然科学基金资助项目“京津冀一体化下河北省承接产业转移与产业结构动态演化升级研究”(G2015501064) 河北省社会科学基金资助项目“京津冀区域产业结构与环境质量耦合机理及模拟调控研究”(HB14YJ009)
【分类号】：F424.1

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