广西糖业与物流信息服务业的关联效应分析

发布时间：2018-04-09 01:39

本文选题：糖业　切入点：物流信息服务　出处：《广西大学》2015年硕士论文

【摘要】：自1988年中央将广西定为全国食糖产业基地以来,广西糖业连续20多年一直占据着全国的霸主地位,成为全国乃至世界上最重要的产糖地区之一。物流公共信息平台在2009年被国务院在《物流业调整和振兴规划》中列为九大重点工程之一,国家发改委、工业和信息化部下发的《关于印发食品工业“十二五”发展规划的通知》中要求继续以广西等地为重点,发展制糖工业。本文正是在这样的背景下将广西的糖业与物流信息业进行结合,对广西糖业与物流信息服务业进行了详细的定性及定量研究。本文首先对物流信息和投入产出的理论进行了概述,之后分析了广西糖业物流信息服务概况,并运用计量模型对广西制糖业的产值进行了预测,然后通过投入产出模型对广西制糖业与物流信息服务相关产业的关联效应进行了定量分析,并利用分析结果对物流信息服务相关产业的产值变动进行了预测。最后,从区位优势、技术发展、人才培养以及政策支持的角度对广西糖业和物流信息服务业的发展提出了对策建议。通过运用投入产出模型对广西制糖业和物流信息服务相关产业从依存度、立体结构、波及效应、产出变动以及价格变动的角度进行关联效应分析,得出的主要结论是：为了保持糖业在广西的地位以及更好地提高糖业的产值,加快物流信息服务业的发展刻不容缓。通过对物流信息服务业的产值变动进行预测,得出的主要结论是：物流信息服务业在未来几年的发展大致呈现逐年上升的趋势,广西糖业将伴随着物流信息服务业的发展而呈现产值不断提升的趋势。
[Abstract]:Since the central government designated Guangxi as the national sugar industry base in 1988, Guangxi sugar industry has been occupying the dominant position in the country for more than 20 years, and has become one of the most important sugar-producing regions in the whole country and even in the world.In 2009, the logistics public information platform was listed as one of the nine key projects by the State Council in the "Plan for Adjustment and Revitalization of the Logistics Industry", the National Development and Reform Commission,The notice issued by the Ministry of Industry and Information on the issue of the 12th Five-Year Plan for Food Industry calls for the continued development of sugar industry in places such as Guangxi.In this paper, the sugar industry and logistics information industry in Guangxi are combined under this background, and the qualitative and quantitative research on the sugar industry and logistics information service industry in Guangxi is carried out in detail.In this paper, the theory of logistics information and input-output is summarized, then the general situation of logistics information service in Guangxi sugar industry is analyzed, and the output value of Guangxi sugar industry is forecasted by econometric model.Then through the input-output model, the correlation effect between the sugar industry and the logistics information service industry in Guangxi is analyzed quantitatively, and the output value change of the logistics information service related industry is forecasted by the result of the analysis.Finally, the paper puts forward some suggestions on the development of Guangxi sugar industry and logistics information service industry from the perspective of location advantage, technological development, talent training and policy support.By using the input-output model, this paper analyzes the correlation effects of dependence, three-dimensional structure, ripple effect, output change and price change in Guangxi sugar industry and logistics information service related industries.The main conclusion is: in order to maintain the status of sugar industry in Guangxi and improve the output value of sugar industry, it is urgent to speed up the development of logistics information service industry.By forecasting the change of the output value of the logistics information service industry, the main conclusion is that the development of the logistics information service industry in the next few years shows a trend of increasing year by year.With the development of logistics information service industry, the sugar industry in Guangxi will present an increasing trend of output value.
【学位授予单位】：广西大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2015
【分类号】：F426.82;F259.27

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