基于模糊多准则妥协解排序法的光伏发电投资计划优选框架

发布时间：2019-01-05 17:30

【摘要】：投资计划优选是光伏发电项目前期工作的重中之重,多准则决策方法在项目优选过程中扮演着重要的角色。但是,常用的多准则决策方法没有考虑决策属性的模糊性和指标之间的冲突性,这将会降低光伏发电项目评估的准确性。因此,该文通过引入模糊集理论和多准则妥协解排序法构建光伏发电投资计划优选框架;利用模糊数代替精确数减少决策信息的损失;通过使用多准则妥协解排序法获得折衷解,解决在存在多项冲突指标时决策结果不能被所有决策者所接受的难题。本框架分为3个部分:评价备选方案的确定、基于群组序关系法的指标权重确定和基于模糊多准则妥协解排序法的投资计划优选,各个部分之间紧密联系,相互影响。最后,以某企业100 MW的地面并网光伏电站项目为例验证了所建框架的有效性和合理性。
[Abstract]:Investment planning optimization is the most important work of photovoltaic power generation project, and multi-criteria decision method plays an important role in the process of project selection. However, the commonly used multi-criteria decision-making methods do not consider the fuzziness of decision attributes and the conflict between indicators, which will reduce the accuracy of photovoltaic project evaluation. Therefore, this paper introduces fuzzy set theory and multi-criteria compromise solution ranking method to construct the optimal selection framework of photovoltaic power generation investment plan, and uses fuzzy number instead of exact number to reduce the loss of decision information. The compromise solution is obtained by using the multi-criteria compromise solution ranking method to solve the problem that the decision result can not be accepted by all decision makers when there are multiple conflict indexes. The framework is divided into three parts: the determination of evaluation options, the determination of index weight based on group order relation method and the optimal selection of investment plan based on fuzzy multi-criteria compromise solution ranking method. Finally, the validity and reasonableness of the proposed framework are verified by an example of a 100 MW ground-connected photovoltaic power plant project in an enterprise.
【作者单位】：华北电力大学经济与管理学院;
【基金】：国家自然科学基金项目(71271085) 北京市社会科学“十二五”规划项目(12JGB044)~~
【分类号】：F426.61;TM615

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