中国碳生产率演绎的驱动因素研究——基于细分行业的视角

发布时间：2019-03-12 13:43

【摘要】：通过借鉴LMDI分解模型及其归因分析法,从细分行业的视角对1999—2013年中国各大产业及其工业行业的碳生产率的变化进行了详细研究。研究发现,中国碳生产率在研究期内呈现出波动上升的态势,能源利用效率和能源排放比率是其上升的主导因素,而产业结构调整对其影响微乎其微;同时从工业细分行业的角度来看,能源利用效率是影响我国工业碳生产率走势的最主要因素,且贡献值较大的行业基本包括高端装备制造业或轻工业。此外受传统制造业和重化工业的影响,能源排放比率对工业碳生产率的影响由正转负,从而抑制了碳生产率的上升,而产业结构调整对工业碳生产率并未产生影响。基于以上结论,本文提出了相应政策建议。
[Abstract]:Based on the LMDI decomposition model and its attribution analysis, this paper makes a detailed study on the change of carbon productivity of the major industries and their industries in China from the perspective of subdivided industries from 1999 to 2013. It is found that the carbon productivity in China is fluctuating and rising during the research period. Energy use efficiency and energy emission ratio are the leading factors for the increase, but the adjustment of industrial structure has little effect on it. At the same time, from the perspective of industry segmentation, energy utilization efficiency is the most important factor affecting the trend of China's industrial carbon productivity, and the industries with large contribution value basically include high-end equipment manufacturing or light industry. In addition, under the influence of traditional manufacturing industry and heavy chemical industry, the influence of energy emission ratio on industrial carbon productivity changes from positive to negative, thus inhibiting the rise of carbon productivity, while the adjustment of industrial structure has no effect on industrial carbon productivity. Based on the above conclusions, the corresponding policy recommendations are put forward in this paper.
【作者单位】：东南大学经济管理学院;
【基金】：国家社科基金重点项目“新常态下我国雾霾防治模式与机制研究”(15AJY009) 江苏省社会科学基金重大项目“‘后青奥’江苏大气污染防治研究”(14ZD011) 江苏省社科基金重点项目“江苏绿色、低碳、循环经济研究”(14EYA003)
【分类号】：F424.1

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