2015年世界乙烯行业发展状况与趋势

发布时间：2019-05-10 10:36

【摘要】：2015年,世界净增乙烯产能约为616.5万吨/年,乙烯生产能力达到1.59亿吨/年,新增产能主要来自中东和亚太;世界乙烯需求量增加约490万吨,需求总量达到1.48亿吨。随着乙烯原料价格走低,乙烯生产毛利总体好于上年,装置开工率继续回升。油价下跌降低了石脑油制乙烯生产商的生产成本,间接提高了以石脑油为原料的石化生产商的竞争力。北美地区继续推进新建裂解装置,油价下跌影响部分项目的投资决定;欧洲乙烯业盈利好转,加快整合,日本继续关停落后产能;"一带一路"主要国家的乙烯业稳步发展,印度、中东地区乙烯业继续扩能。预计2016年世界新增乙烯产能约380万吨/年,增速明显放缓,世界乙烯总产能接近1.63亿吨/年;乙烯需求将增长约500万吨,需求总量将达到1.53亿吨/年。
[Abstract]:In 2015, the world net ethylene production capacity was about 6.165 million tons / year, and the ethylene production capacity reached 159 million tons / year, mainly from the Middle East and Asia-Pacific. The world ethylene demand increased by about 4.9 million tons, with a total demand of 148 million tons. With the lower price of ethylene raw materials, the gross profit of ethylene production was better than the previous year, and the operating rate of the plant continued to pick up. The fall in oil prices has reduced the production costs of ethylene producers from petroleum oil and indirectly improved the competitiveness of petrochemical producers based on petroleum oil. North America continues to promote the construction of new cracking plants, falling oil prices affect the investment decisions of some projects, European ethylene industry profits improve, accelerate integration, Japan continues to shut down backward production capacity; The ethylene industry in the major countries of Belt and Road Initiative has developed steadily, and the ethylene industry in India and the Middle East has continued to expand. In 2016, the world's new ethylene production capacity is expected to be about 3.8 million tons / year, the growth rate is obviously slowing down, the world ethylene production capacity is close to 163 million tons / year, ethylene demand will increase by about 5 million tons, the total demand will reach 153 million tons per year.
【作者单位】：中国石油集团经济技术研究院;
【分类号】：F416.7

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