广州市社会治安评估系统研究与实现

发布时间：2018-03-01 06:09

本文关键词： 社会治安状况治安评估指标阈值综合治安指数　出处：《国防科学技术大学》2007年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】： 良好的治安环境是当前和谐社会建设的目标之一。治安管理部门不仅要以科学发展观为指导,运用科学的管理方法和手段保护治安环境,也要应用技术手段实时对治安状况进行评价,得到反馈信息,以此辅助决策,更好改善治安环境。广州市公安局经过多年的统计数据积累,具备了进行这项工作的条件。围绕广州市社会治安状况的实际特点,本文研究了广州市社会治安状况评估的方法和模型,并设计、开发实现了广州市社会治安评估系统。主要研究内容及创新如下: 第一,分析了社会治安评估的相关概念及内涵,研究了社会治安问题的形成机理与影响因素,明确了社会治安评估的概念,阐述了社会治安评估的基本思想与原则。第二,分析了广州市社会治安现状的实际特点,建立了广州市社会治安评估指标体系,主要包括社会治安状况的反映指标和影响指标;建立了社会治安单指标评估模型,给出了专家调查与实际数据统计分析相结合的指标阈值确定方法和阈值调整方法。单个指标评估模型不仅能够给出案件变化状况的定量描述,还能对指标所处状态进行评估,使警方可以直观地得到当前某个指标处于哪一个警戒区间。第三,提出了综合治安指数的概念;建立了综合治安指数模型,给出了专家调查法与层次分析法相结合的指标权重确定方法,提高了赋权的准确性;给出了应用综合治安指数进行评估的步骤。综合治安指数是各种反映指标对治安状况的综合反映,该指数既能反映各个指标对社会治安状况的影响程度,又能反映治安状况的变化趋势,定量地评估广州市综合治安状况。第四,分析、设计并实现了广州市社会治安评估系统。首先,分析了评估系统的关键技术需求;然后,分析了系统的处理流程,给出了系统的整体结构,并对各子系统的功能模型进行了设计;最后,应用面向服务的架构(SOA)、组件和XML等技术开发实现了广州市社会治安评估系统,介绍了系统的运行环境。最后,应用广州市实际调查统计数据验证了模型的正确性,应用广州市社会治安状况的历史数据介绍并测试了广州市社会治安评估系统的有效性、实用性与可靠性。
[Abstract]:A good public security environment is one of the goals of the construction of a harmonious society at present. The public security management departments should not only take the scientific development view as the guide, but also use scientific management methods and means to protect the public security environment. It is also necessary to use technical means to evaluate the public security situation in real time so as to obtain feedback information so as to assist decision making and improve the public security environment better. After many years of statistical data accumulation Guangzhou Public Security Bureau has the conditions to carry out this work. Based on the actual characteristics of social security in Guangzhou, this paper studies the methods and models of social security assessment in Guangzhou, and designs and develops the evaluation system of social security in Guangzhou. The main research contents and innovations are as follows:. First, it analyzes the related concepts and connotations of social security assessment, studies the forming mechanism and influencing factors of social security problems, clarifies the concept of social security assessment, and expounds the basic ideas and principles of social security assessment. Second, it analyzes the actual characteristics of the social security situation in Guangzhou, establishes the evaluation index system of social security in Guangzhou, mainly includes the reflecting index and the influence index of the social security situation, and establishes the evaluation model of the single index of social security. An index threshold determination method and a threshold adjustment method combining expert investigation and statistical analysis of actual data are presented. A single index evaluation model can not only give a quantitative description of the changing situation of the case, but also evaluate the state of the index. Enables the police to intuitively determine which alert range a current indicator is in. Thirdly, the concept of comprehensive public security index is put forward, the model of comprehensive security index is established, and the index weight determination method combining expert investigation method with AHP method is given, which improves the accuracy of weighting. The steps of applying the comprehensive public security index to the evaluation are given. The comprehensive public security index is a comprehensive reflection of the public security situation by various indicators, which can not only reflect the degree of influence of each index on the public security situation. It can also reflect the changing trend of public security, and quantitatively assess the comprehensive public security situation in Guangzhou. 4th, analyzed, designed and implemented the Guangzhou social security evaluation system. First, analyzed the key technical requirements of the evaluation system; then, analyzed the processing process of the system, and gave the overall structure of the system. The function model of each subsystem is designed. Finally, the system of social security evaluation in Guangzhou is developed by using the technology of service-oriented architecture such as SOA, component and XML, and the running environment of the system is introduced. Finally, the validity of the model is verified by using the statistical data of the actual investigation in Guangzhou. The validity, practicability and reliability of the evaluation system of social security in Guangzhou are introduced and tested by using the historical data of the social security situation in Guangzhou.
【学位授予单位】：国防科学技术大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2007
【分类号】：D631.4

【引证文献】