大型社会活动风险管理及人群聚集事故防范体系研究
发布时间：2018-11-28 16:40
【摘要】： 随着中国近几年大型社会活动日益增多,规模不断扩大,国际化程度不断提高,大型社会活动日益成为社会、企业和广大民众关注的焦点。大型社会活动人口密度大,流动性强,极易引发安全事故,造成大量人员伤亡和恶劣的社会影响。特别是2008年奥运会申办的成功,对我国大型社会活动的组织能力又是一次重大的考验。 本文基于大型社会活动的人群聚集特点,依据系统安全工程中的事故致因分析逻辑,借鉴现代项目管理中风险管理的分析方法和管理方法,采取了具有较强实际操作性的问题导向设计方法,对大型社会活动人群聚集事故防范体系进行了总体研究与设计,最终得出了具体实现方案的概念设计。 本文在事故致因分析过程中,特别依据大型社会活动的特点,作出人群聚集事故事故树,并对致因事件进行分类与分析,在此基础上建立事故预警指标体系和指标评分集。以该指标评价体系和指标评分集为核心,以实际操作为导向,完成了对大型社会活动人群聚集事故防范体系的整体概念设计。 本文为大型社会活动项目风险管理研究提供了一个新思路,为政府决策提供科学依据,也为政府有关部门建设人群聚集事故防范体系提供了具有操作性的备选方案,具有较强的实用性。
[Abstract]:With the increasing of large-scale social activities in China in recent years, the scale is expanding and the degree of internationalization is increasing, and large-scale social activities have become the focus of attention of the society, enterprises and the general public. Large social activities are characterized by high population density and strong mobility, which can easily lead to safety accidents, resulting in a large number of casualties and adverse social impact. Especially, the success of 2008 Olympic bid is a great test to the organization ability of large-scale social activities in our country. Based on the characteristics of crowd gathering in large-scale social activities and the logic of accident cause analysis in system safety engineering, this paper draws lessons from the analysis methods and management methods of risk management in modern project management. In this paper, the problem oriented design method with strong practical operation is adopted, and the overall research and design of the prevention system of mass gathering accidents of large social activities are carried out. Finally, the conceptual design of the concrete realization scheme is obtained. In the course of accident cause analysis, according to the characteristics of large-scale social activities, this paper makes a crowd gathering accident tree, classifies and analyzes the cause events, and establishes an accident warning index system and index score set on this basis. With the index evaluation system and the index score set as the core and the practical operation as the guide, the overall concept design of the mass accident prevention system for large social activities is completed. This paper provides a new idea for the study of risk management of large-scale social activities, provides a scientific basis for government decision-making, and provides an operational alternative scheme for the government departments concerned to build a crowd gathering accident prevention system. It has strong practicability.
【学位授予单位】：北京化工大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2008
【分类号】：D631.4
本文编号：2363547
[Abstract]:With the increasing of large-scale social activities in China in recent years, the scale is expanding and the degree of internationalization is increasing, and large-scale social activities have become the focus of attention of the society, enterprises and the general public. Large social activities are characterized by high population density and strong mobility, which can easily lead to safety accidents, resulting in a large number of casualties and adverse social impact. Especially, the success of 2008 Olympic bid is a great test to the organization ability of large-scale social activities in our country. Based on the characteristics of crowd gathering in large-scale social activities and the logic of accident cause analysis in system safety engineering, this paper draws lessons from the analysis methods and management methods of risk management in modern project management. In this paper, the problem oriented design method with strong practical operation is adopted, and the overall research and design of the prevention system of mass gathering accidents of large social activities are carried out. Finally, the conceptual design of the concrete realization scheme is obtained. In the course of accident cause analysis, according to the characteristics of large-scale social activities, this paper makes a crowd gathering accident tree, classifies and analyzes the cause events, and establishes an accident warning index system and index score set on this basis. With the index evaluation system and the index score set as the core and the practical operation as the guide, the overall concept design of the mass accident prevention system for large social activities is completed. This paper provides a new idea for the study of risk management of large-scale social activities, provides a scientific basis for government decision-making, and provides an operational alternative scheme for the government departments concerned to build a crowd gathering accident prevention system. It has strong practicability.
【学位授予单位】：北京化工大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2008
【分类号】：D631.4
【引证文献】
相关期刊论文 前1条
1 张锋;;2014年南京青奥会公共安全风险及防范对策[J];安徽师范大学学报(自然科学版);2012年01期
相关硕士学位论文 前1条
1 郑兰兰;具备上盖物业资源的车辆段安全保障体系研究[D];华中科技大学;2011年
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