滨城区外来人口犯罪及其预防

发布时间：2019-06-13 07:10

【摘要】：随着我国现代化和城市化进程的加快,外来人口犯罪问题日渐突出,外来人口犯罪研究也不断深入、日臻成熟。但目前的研究更多地涉及大中城市的外来人口犯罪问题,小城市、小城区的外来人口犯罪研究还比较鲜见。笔者认为,随着小城市的经济发展,其外来人口犯罪迅猛增长,发展势头不容忽视,如若不及时控制和预防,势必导致工作的被动,阻碍经济的发展。本文旨在通过对滨城区外来人口犯罪的研究,分析它的现状,找出它的变化发展规律,在借鉴大中城市管理经验的基础上,制定符合自身实际的管理和预防措施,以有效控制外来人口犯罪不断增长的趋势,为滨城区经济的健康有序、持续高效发展创造良好的社会治安环境。本文的章节安排及主要内容:第一章通过13年来的外来人口犯罪数据,研究滨城区当前的外来人口犯罪现状,探求滨城区外来人口犯罪的特点,并通过大量数据论证所阐述的观点。第二章是滨城区外来人口犯罪的原因。从社会、文化、心理等方面探求形成外来人口犯罪的多层次、多维度原因结构。第三章对滨城区的外来人口犯罪进行预测。运用指数平滑法对其数量进行定量预测,并对其犯罪现象进行定性预测。第四章是滨城区外来人口犯罪的预防对策。提出要从发展经济、加强教育、实施社区警务、强化打击四个方面来遏制外来人口犯罪增长的势头,这是本文的重点章节。本文的主要创新在于:一是通过实证研究,提出了小城市外来人口犯罪的特点及预防对策;二是运用指数平滑法,建立数学模型,对滨城区的外来人口犯罪进行了科学预测;三是将“社区警务”引入外来人口管理中,提出了“以人为本”的管理原则,避免了外来人口管理中的短期行为。
[Abstract]:With the acceleration of modernization and urbanization in China, the problem of foreign population crime is becoming more and more prominent, and the research on foreign population crime is also deepening and maturing. However, the current research is more concerned with the problem of foreign population crime in large and medium-sized cities, small urban areas of foreign population crime research is still relatively rare. The author believes that with the economic development of small cities, the crime of foreign population is growing rapidly, and the development momentum can not be ignored. If not controlled and prevented in time, it will inevitably lead to the passivity of work and hinder the development of economy. The purpose of this paper is to analyze its present situation and find out its changing and developing law through the study of the crime of migrant population in Bincheng District. On the basis of drawing lessons from the management experience of large and medium-sized cities, this paper formulates the management and preventive measures in line with its own reality, so as to effectively control the increasing trend of the crime of migrant population and create a good social security environment for the healthy and orderly economy and sustainable and efficient development of Bincheng District. The chapter arrangement and main content of this paper: the first chapter studies the current situation of foreign population crime in Bincheng District through the data of foreign population crime in the past 13 years, explores the characteristics of Bincheng District migrant population crime, and demonstrates the views through a large number of data. The second chapter is the reasons for the crime of migrant population in Bincheng District. This paper explores the multi-level and multi-dimensional cause structure of foreign population crime from the aspects of society, culture, psychology and so on. The third chapter forecasts the crime of foreign population in Bincheng District. The exponential smoothing method is used to predict the quantity and the crime phenomenon qualitatively. The fourth chapter is the prevention countermeasures of the crime of migrant population in Bincheng District. It is the key chapter of this paper to curb the growth of foreign population crime from four aspects: developing economy, strengthening education, implementing community policing and strengthening crackdown. The main innovations of this paper are as follows: first, through empirical research, the characteristics and preventive countermeasures of migrant population crime in small cities are put forward; second, the mathematical model is established by using exponential smoothing method to make a scientific prediction of migrant population crime in Bincheng District; third, "community policing" is introduced into the management of migrant population, and the "people-oriented" management principle is put forward to avoid the short-term behavior in the management of migrant population.
【学位授予单位】：天津大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2004
【分类号】：D917

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