我国城镇贫困群体收入影响因素研究

发布时间：2018-03-15 00:10

本文选题：城镇贫困　切入点：分位数回归　出处：《北方工业大学》2015年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：贫困问题一直受到国内外学者的关注。由于我国正处于经济转型中,经济转型所造成的城镇贫困问题日益凸显,研究这些问题不仅对我国的发展有重大意义,对当代经济学的发展也有重要的理论意义。本文主要是从数据角度对我国贫困阶层进行分析,该论文采用了核密度估计以及分位数回归技术。数据来自中国营养与健康调查(China Health and Nutrition Survey),由于数据缺失的问题,本文选取江苏、山东、河南、湖北、湖南、广西、贵州这七个省的数据。年份为1989、1993、1997、2000、2004、2006、2009和2011年这八个年份。各个省份的人均GDP,性别,年龄,教育程度为分位数回归的自变量,收入的对数因变量。本文首先对城镇贫困进行定义,认为分位点为0.05为贫困收入阶层,0.2为相对贫困阶层,0.5为中等收入阶层,0.8为高等收入阶层。并且对贫困收入阶层进行特征的分析。通过建模,发现影响我国贫困阶层收入的主要是教育和地区经济发展状况。地区经济发展状况起决定性作用,但是随着我国经济的发展,二元结构的减弱,该作用也在逐年下降,教育对贫困阶层影响要多于对其他各个收入阶层的影响,而性别和年龄的影响是不显著的,所以通过加强教育普及力度,大力发展经济,我国城镇贫困是可以逆转的。
[Abstract]:The problem of poverty has always been concerned by scholars at home and abroad. As China is in the process of economic transformation, the problem of urban poverty caused by economic transformation is becoming increasingly prominent, so it is of great significance to study these problems not only for the development of our country, but also for the development of China. It is also of great theoretical significance to the development of contemporary economics. This paper mainly analyzes the poor class in China from the point of view of data. This paper uses nuclear density estimation and quantile regression technique. The data are from China Health and Nutrition Survey, due to the lack of data. The data of seven provinces, Jiangsu, Shandong, Henan, Hubei, Hunan, Guangxi and Guizhou, are selected in this paper. The data are from 1989 to 1993,1997,2004,2004,2004,2006,2006,2006,2009 and 2011 respectively. The per capita GDP, sex, age, education level of each province are independent variables of quantile regression. Logarithmic dependent variable of income. In this paper, we first define urban poverty, and consider that the locus is 0.05 for the poor income class 0.2 for the relative poor class and 0.5 for the middle income class and 0.8 for the higher income class, and the characteristics of the poor income class are analyzed. It is found that education and regional economic development are the main factors affecting the income of the poor class in China. The regional economic development plays a decisive role. However, with the development of our economy and the weakening of the dual structure, this role is also declining year by year. The influence of education on the poor class is more than that on the other income groups, but the influence of gender and age is not significant. Therefore, by strengthening the popularization of education and vigorously developing the economy, urban poverty in our country can be reversed.
【学位授予单位】：北方工业大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2015
【分类号】：D663

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